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Cerceda vs Racing Club Villalbes

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 game between Cerceda and Racing Club Villalbes finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerceda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cerceda
28%
Draws
22%
Racing Club Villalbes
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cerceda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Racing Club Villalbes come out ahead of Cerceda on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Cerceda taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 19%
Racing Club Villalbes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerceda Racing Club Villalbes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 10
Draws 8 12
Losses 21 8
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Racing Club Villalbes
1:0
Oct 2, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Cerceda
3:2
Feb 7, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Racing Club Villalbes
1:2
Sep 20, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Cerceda
1:2
Feb 15, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Racing Club Villalbes vs Cerceda
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerceda 49 / 100
Racing Club Villalbes 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerceda Racing Club Villalbes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Racing Club Villalbes registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Cerceda scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Racing Club Villalbes let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Racing Club Villalbes
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerceda

(Home)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
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Racing Club Villalbes

(Away)
23 May
Compostela
6 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
16 May
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 0
Compostela
10 May
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 1
Lugo B
03 May
Gran Pena
4 : 1
Racing Club Villalbes
26 Apr
Racing Club Villalbes
0 : 3
Silva SD
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