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Cerceda vs Ribadumia

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cerceda in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cerceda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Cerceda
20%
Draws
65%
Ribadumia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ribadumia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ribadumia lately — more wins on the board than Cerceda.
  • Win probability leans Ribadumia's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cerceda Clean Sheet 20%
Ribadumia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerceda Ribadumia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 1 11
Draws 8 5
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.67 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Ribadumia
3:0
Oct 30, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ribadumia vs Cerceda
2:3
Mar 13, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Cerceda vs Ribadumia
1:2
Oct 25, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ribadumia vs Cerceda
2:3
Feb 1, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Ribadumia vs Cerceda
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerceda 20 / 100
Ribadumia 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerceda Ribadumia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ribadumia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Ribadumia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Cerceda's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Cerceda stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ribadumia
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerceda

(Home)
13 May
Cerceda
0 : 2
CF Talavera
06 May
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 0
Cerceda
29 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Ponferradina
22 Apr
Coruxo FC
3 : 2
Cerceda
14 Apr
Cerceda
1 : 1
Rayo Majadahonda
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Ribadumia

(Away)
19 Jun
Fisterra
1 : 2
Ribadumia
13 Jun
Ribadumia
3 : 2
Paiosaco
06 Jun
Arzua
3 : 1
Ribadumia
30 May
Ribadumia
0 : 1
Viveiro
23 May
Agrupacion Estudiantil
0 : 2
Ribadumia
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