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Stadium Background

Cercle Brugge vs Dender

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 Jan Breydel Stadion, Brugge
Cercle Brugge Logo

Cercle Brugge

2 - 1
FT
Dender Logo

Dender

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Jahanbakhsh A.
29' Event
Diakite O.
Assist: Diop E.
46'
Sub
De Kerf B. In: De Fougerolles L.
Out: De Kerf B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cercle Brugge in this Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cercle Brugge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cercle Brugge
30%
Draws
47%
Dender
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dender

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cercle Brugge lately — more wins on the board than Dender.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cercle Brugge Clean Sheet 19%
Dender Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cercle Brugge Dender
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 8 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.55 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs Dender
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Cercle Brugge
1:4
Mar 1, 2026 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs Dender
0:0
Jul 26, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Cercle Brugge
0:0
Jan 18, 2025 Jupiler Pro League
Dender vs Cercle Brugge
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cercle Brugge Compare

Top Goalscorer Diakite O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Dender Compare

Top Goalscorer Viltard M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cercle Brugge 32 / 100
Dender 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cercle Brugge Dender

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cercle Brugge scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Dender has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cercle Brugge stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cercle Brugge VS Dender
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cercle Brugge

(Home)
29 Aug
Cercle Brugge
0 : 1
Lommel SK
23 Aug
Club Brugge
1 : 0
Cercle Brugge
14 Aug
Cercle Brugge
3 : 3
St. Truiden
08 Aug
St. Liege
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge
31 Jul
Monaco
2 : 2
Cercle Brugge
Page 1 of 6

Dender

(Away)
29 Aug
RFC Liege
1 : 2
Dender
22 Aug
Dender
2 : 0
Beerschot VA
14 Aug
Hasselt
1 : 0
Dender
08 Aug
Dender
0 : 2
Knokke
02 Aug
Oudenaarde
5 : 0
Dender
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
13 Waregem 6 5 1 0 15:6 48
14 Cercle Brugge 6 3 1 2 14:11 41
15 RAAL La Louviere 6 1 0 5 5:13 34
16 Dender 6 2 0 4 7:11 25
Relegation - Jupiler Pro League 2025/2026 (Relegation)