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Cercle Brugge vs Royal Excelsior Mouscron

Belgium Belgium

Jupiler League 2009/2010 Jan Breydel Stadion, Brugge
Sat, Dec 19, 2009
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cercle Brugge host Royal Excelsior Mouscron in the Jupiler League 2009/2010. This has Royal Excelsior Mouscron written all over it on paper. Royal Excelsior Mouscron have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Cercle Brugge have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.25. Head-to-head, Cercle Brugge have won 1 to Royal Excelsior Mouscron's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Dec 19, 2009, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 1.25, favoring Royal Excelsior Mouscron. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cercle Brugge
33%
Draws
40%
Royal Excelsior Mouscron
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Royal Excelsior Mouscron

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cercle Brugge come out ahead of Royal Excelsior Mouscron on wins alone.
  • Royal Excelsior Mouscron are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Jupiler League 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cercle Brugge Clean Sheet 19%
Royal Excelsior Mouscron Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cercle Brugge Royal Excelsior Mouscron
Matches Played 28 1
Wins 9 0
Draws 6 0
Losses 13 1
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 19, 2009 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs Royal Excelsior Mouscron
0:0
Aug 22, 2009 Jupiler Pro League
Royal Excelsior Mouscron vs Cercle Brugge
0:0
Mar 21, 2009 Jupiler Pro League
Cercle Brugge vs Royal Excelsior Mouscron
0:1
Nov 1, 2008 Jupiler Pro League
Royal Excelsior Mouscron vs Cercle Brugge
0:1
Apr 26, 2008 Jupiler Pro League
Royal Excelsior Mouscron vs Cercle Brugge
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cercle Brugge 28 / 100
Royal Excelsior Mouscron 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cercle Brugge Royal Excelsior Mouscron

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cercle Brugge found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Royal Excelsior Mouscron conceded in 100% of 1 recent games.

H2H data points to 0.60 goals as a typical output.

Cercle Brugge went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cercle Brugge VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cercle Brugge

(Home)
18 Jul
Zwolle
3 : 2
Cercle Brugge
11 Jul
Cercle Brugge
1 : 1
Lommel SK
09 May
RAAL La Louviere
4 : 1
Cercle Brugge
01 May
Cercle Brugge
2 : 3
Waregem
24 Apr
Cercle Brugge
2 : 1
Dender
Page 1 of 6

Royal Excelsior Mouscron

(Away)
27 Oct
Mons
2 : 1
Royal Excelsior Mouscron

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Anderlecht28223362:2069
2Club Brugge28176552:3357
3Gent28147749:3049
4Kortrijk28129739:3045
5St. Truiden281261035:3542
6Waregem281011739:3241
7St. Liege28109938:3439
8KV Mechelen281231336:4639
9Cercle Brugge281151245:4038
10Beerschot28981130:4335
11Genk288101033:3134
12Westerlo28881228:3432
13Charleroi28581528:4523
14KSV Roeselare28461829:5818
15Lokeren28532022:5418
16Royal Excelsior Mouscron00000:00
Relegation - Jupiler League 2009/2010 (Relegation)
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Promotion - Jupiler League 2009/2010 (Europa League Group)
Promotion - Jupiler League 2009/2010 (Europa League Group)
Promotion - Jupiler League 2009/2010 (Europa League Group)
Promotion - Jupiler League 2009/2010 (Europa League Group)
Promotion - Jupiler League 2009/2010 (Europa League Group)
Promotion - Jupiler League 2009/2010 (Europa League Group)
Promotion - Jupiler League 2009/2010 (Europa League Group)
Promotion - Jupiler League 2009/2010 (Europa League Group)