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Cerdanyola del Valles vs CF Vilanova

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cerdanyola del Valles play CF Vilanova in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cerdanyola del Valles averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. CF Vilanova averaged 1.1 goals scored and 0.76 conceded. In past meetings, Cerdanyola del Valles won 1, CF Vilanova won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 8, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Cerdanyola del Valles and 1.56 for CF Vilanova. This points to a CF Vilanova double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Cerdanyola del Valles
35%
Draws
39%
CF Vilanova
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CF Vilanova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Cerdanyola del Valles picked up more points recently compared to CF Vilanova.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%
Cerdanyola del Valles Clean Sheet 15%
CF Vilanova Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerdanyola del Valles CF Vilanova
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 5 13
Draws 15 9
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.64 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cerdanyola del Valles vs CF Vilanova
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Cerdanyola del Valles
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerdanyola del Valles Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CF Vilanova Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerdanyola del Valles 26 / 100
CF Vilanova 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerdanyola del Valles CF Vilanova

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: CF Vilanova or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cerdanyola del Valles attacking → ← attacking CF Vilanova

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerdanyola del Valles scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

CF Vilanova let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Cerdanyola del Valles went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

CF Vilanova lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

30 Points in last 5 48
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1CE Manresa34199655:3266
2CF Badalona341712543:2763
3Cornella34179850:3660
4CF Vilanova341511838:2756
5L Hospitalet341671155:3955
6FE Grama341412849:3554
7FC Lescala3412101251:5146
8Peralada3411131045:3946
9UE Tona341015935:3145
10CE Europa B341291344:5345
11Montanesa341191431:3942
12Mollerussa349131239:4340
13Vilassar de Mar349111436:3838
14San Cristobal CP348131339:4837
15Cerdanyola del Valles346161240:5334
16Can Vidalet34891735:5333
17UE Vic347111631:4732
18Lleida344131721:4625