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Ceres vs Campos AA

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Quiezza T. R.
(Penalty)
75' Event
dos Santos Nascimento V.
81' Event
Micia K.

AI Match Summary

Campos AA in this Carioca C matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Campos AA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ceres
15%
Draws
85%
Campos AA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Campos AA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Campos AA lately — more wins on the board than Ceres.
  • Model gives Ceres a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Carioca C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ceres Clean Sheet 12%
Campos AA Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ceres Campos AA
Matches Played 8 29
Wins 3 11
Draws 0 8
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Carioca C
Ceres vs Campos AA
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ceres Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Campos AA Compare

Top Goalscorer dos Santos Nascimento V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Micia K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ceres 40 / 100
Campos AA 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ceres Campos AA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ceres scored in 83% of their last 6 games.

Defensive concern: Campos AA conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Campos AA has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ceres VS Campos AA
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ceres

(Home)
12 Jul
Ceres
:
Independente RJ
06 Jul
Independente RJ
:
Ceres
08 Jun
Ceres
2 : 4
Tigres Brasil
31 May
Cardoso Moreira
2 : 0
Ceres
25 May
Ceres
1 : 2
Campos AA
Page 1 of 2

Campos AA

(Away)
23 Jul
Campos AA
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
19 Jul
Cardoso Moreira
4 : 1
Campos AA
12 Jul
Tigres Brasil
0 : 0
Campos AA
06 Jul
Campos AA
3 : 2
Tigres Brasil
03 Jul
Uniao Central
1 : 0
Campos AA
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardoso Moreira 8 7 1 0 15:2 22
2 Tigres Brasil 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
3 Campos AA 8 5 2 1 15:7 17
4 Grande Rio Brescia Clube 7 3 1 3 8:6 10
5 Mageense 6 2 1 3 6:13 7
6 Barcelona EC 8 2 0 6 5:21 6
7 Itaborai Profute 6 1 3 2 9:9 6
8 EC Vera Cruz 8 1 0 7 9:21 3
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra Mansa 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
2 Rio Barra 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
3 Buzios 7 3 3 1 15:6 12
4 Uni Souza 8 3 1 4 15:11 10
5 Uniao Central 8 3 1 4 11:15 10
6 Ceres 6 3 0 3 10:11 9
7 Caac Brazil 8 2 1 5 8:16 7
8 Independente RJ 7 1 2 4 4:8 5
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)