Sport Picks
Match Events
53'
53'
Komi Y.
61'
61'
Sub
Nakamura T. In: Okuda H.
Out: Nakamura T.
61'
61'
Sub
Komi Y. In: Sakuragawa S.
Out: Komi Y.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Cerezo Osaka have won more games recently than Verdy.
- 33% — that's where the model lands on Cerezo Osaka taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cerezo Osaka Clean Sheet 20%
Verdy Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerezo Osaka | Verdy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 11 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.55 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Verdy
0:0
Jun 21, 2025 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Verdy
2:1
Apr 25, 2025 J1 League
Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka
1:0
Jul 6, 2024 J1 League
Verdy vs Cerezo Osaka
1:1
Mar 9, 2024 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Verdy
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerezo Osaka 58 / 100
Verdy 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerezo Osaka Verdy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cerezo Osaka Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cerezo Osaka found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
Verdy has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.
Cerezo Osaka went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cerezo Osaka VS Verdy
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerezo Osaka
(Home) 19 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1 Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Verdy
02 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
29 Aug
Vissel Kobe
1 : 0 Cerezo Osaka
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Verdy
02 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kashiwa Reysol
26 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
3 : 1 Gifu
22 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
1 : 0 Shimizu S-Pulse
08 Aug
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 1 Okayama
Page 1 of 4
Verdy
(Away) 19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1 Verdy
13 Sept
Verdy
1 : 1 Chiba
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1 Verdy
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Verdy
02 Sept
Verdy
0 : 2 Vissel Kobe
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Urawa Reds
3 : 1 Verdy
09 Sept
Reilac Shiga
0 : 1 Verdy
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0 Verdy
22 Aug
Okayama
0 : 0 Verdy
30 May
Gamba Osaka
1 : 1 Verdy
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12:5 | 19 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 17:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 20:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Machida Zelvia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | 17 |
| 6 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 14 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 16:12 | 13 |
| 8 | Kashima Antlers | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 13 |
| 9 | Okayama | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 13 |
| 10 | Urawa Reds | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:18 | 12 |
| 11 | Cerezo Osaka | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:8 | 10 |
| 13 | Mito | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 9 |
| 14 | Kyoto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 15 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:15 | 8 |
| 16 | Gamba Osaka | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8:14 | 6 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | 6 |
| 18 | Avispa Fukuoka | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | 4 |
| 19 | Verdy | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4:12 | 4 |
| 20 | Chiba | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:18 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)
