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Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

J1 League Yodoko Sakura Stadium, Osaka
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Hernandez J.
26'
Ohata A.
50'
Irvine J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this J1 League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cerezo Osaka
30%
Draws
43%
Yokohama F. Marinos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yokohama F. Marinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Cerezo Osaka have won more games recently than Yokohama F. Marinos.
  • Model gives Cerezo Osaka a 36% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cerezo Osaka Clean Sheet 17%
Yokohama F. Marinos Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerezo Osaka Yokohama F. Marinos
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 17 14
Draws 3 4
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.67 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.22 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka
3:1
May 11, 2025 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos
1:0
Aug 24, 2024 J1 League
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka
4:0
Apr 27, 2024 J1 League
Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerezo Osaka 36 / 100
Yokohama F. Marinos 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerezo Osaka Yokohama F. Marinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerezo Osaka found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (27 games).

Yokohama F. Marinos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Cerezo Osaka has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cerezo Osaka VS Yokohama F. Marinos
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerezo Osaka

(Home)
07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0
Kagoshima United
29 Sept
Fujieda MYFC
1 : 2
Cerezo Osaka
19 Sept
V-Varen Nagasaki
1 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
12 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
6 : 1
Cerezo Osaka
06 Sept
Cerezo Osaka
0 : 0
Verdy
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Yokohama F. Marinos

(Away)
07 Oct
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 1
Kyoto Sangyo
29 Sept
Montedio Yamagata
1 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
19 Sept
Yokohama F. Marinos
2 : 0
Mito
12 Sept
Machida Zelvia
1 : 1
Yokohama F. Marinos
06 Sept
Kashiwa Reysol
0 : 2
Yokohama F. Marinos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kashiwa Reysol 9 7 0 2 21:14 21
2 Machida Zelvia 9 6 2 1 22:10 20
3 FC Tokyo 9 6 2 1 17:8 20
4 Vissel Kobe 9 6 1 2 14:9 19
5 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 8 5 2 1 20:6 17
6 Kashima Antlers 9 5 1 3 19:16 16
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
8 Kawasaki Frontale 8 3 4 1 16:12 13
9 Okayama 9 4 1 4 12:12 13
10 Urawa Reds 9 4 0 5 16:21 12
11 Cerezo Osaka 9 3 3 3 7:12 12
12 Shimizu S-Pulse 8 3 1 4 6:8 10
13 Mito 8 2 3 3 11:11 9
14 Kyoto 9 2 2 5 11:16 8
15 V-Varen Nagasaki 8 2 2 4 10:15 8
16 Avispa Fukuoka 9 2 1 6 11:13 7
17 Nagoya Grampus 8 2 0 6 7:14 6
18 Gamba Osaka 9 1 3 5 8:16 6
19 Verdy 8 0 4 4 4:12 4
20 Chiba 8 1 1 6 7:18 4
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - J2 League 2027/2028 (Main)