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Stadium Background

Cerrado EC vs Itumbiara

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 3 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Joao Matheus
73' Event
da Silva Oliveira Y.
79'
Adriel

AI Match Summary

The Goiano 3 2024 game between Cerrado EC and Itumbiara finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itumbiara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Cerrado EC
20%
Draws
22%
Itumbiara
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cerrado EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Cerrado EC haven't matched Itumbiara's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Cerrado EC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Itumbiara have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cerrado EC Clean Sheet 20%
Itumbiara Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrado EC Itumbiara
Matches Played 20 31
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0.85 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.35 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.02 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2024 Goiano 3
Cerrado EC vs Itumbiara
0:3
Aug 24, 2024 Goiano 3
Itumbiara vs Cerrado EC
2:2
Oct 9, 2022 Goiano 2
Itumbiara vs Cerrado EC
3:2
Sep 1, 2022 Goiano 2
Cerrado EC vs Itumbiara
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerrado EC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.51

Itumbiara Compare

Top Goalscorer da Silva Oliveira Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Matheus
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrado EC 85 / 100
Itumbiara 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrado EC Itumbiara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerrado EC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itumbiara has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cerrado EC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Itumbiara's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cerrado EC VS Itumbiara
0.67 Goals Scored 1
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrado EC

(Home)
21 Sept
Aparecida EC
0 : 0
Cerrado EC
14 Sept
Cerrado EC
0 : 3
Itumbiara
07 Sept
Rioverdense
1 : 2
Cerrado EC
31 Aug
Cerrado EC
3 : 0
Rioverdense
24 Aug
Itumbiara
2 : 2
Cerrado EC
Page 1 of 4

Itumbiara

(Away)
15 Nov
Itumbiara
2 : 1
Rioverdense
09 Nov
Pires do Rio
10 : 2
Itumbiara
02 Nov
Itumbiara
0 : 8
Bom Jesus
24 Oct
ABD FC
7 : 0
Itumbiara
19 Oct
Itumbiara
2 : 4
Santa Helena
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uruacu 6 4 1 1 16:11 13
2 Tupy FC 6 4 0 2 15:7 12
3 Rio Verde 6 3 1 2 19:7 10
4 Pires do Rio 6 0 0 6 5:30 0
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mineiros 8 4 3 1 14:6 15
2 Guanabara City 8 4 2 2 9:5 14
3 Bela Vista FC 8 3 5 0 13:7 14
4 Itaberai 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
5 America GO 8 0 4 4 6:15 4
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aparecida EC 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
2 Itumbiara 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Cerrado EC 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 Rioverdense 6 0 2 4 3:9 2
Promotion - Goiano 3 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams