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Cerrito vs Colon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Estadio Charrúa, Montevideo
Thu, Nov 12, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cerrito host Colon in the Segunda Division. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Cerrito at 1.29 goals for, 1.16 against; Colon at 1.1 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor Colon slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.19) point toward Colon. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cerrito
30%
Draws
47%
Colon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cerrito haven't matched Colon's recent run of results.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Colon taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Colon have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 20%
Colon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrito Colon
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 12 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.29 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Segunda Division
Colon vs Cerrito
1:0
Oct 26, 2025 Segunda Division
Colon vs Cerrito
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Colon
1:2
Sep 26, 2024 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Colon
0:2
Jun 8, 2024 Segunda Division
Colon vs Cerrito
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrito 24 / 100
Colon 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrito Colon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerrito scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Colon let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cerrito stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerrito VS Colon
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrito

(Home)
31 Oct
Fenix
1 : 1
Cerrito
25 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 2
Rentistas
17 Oct
Miramar
1 : 0
Cerrito
10 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 1
Tacuarembo
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3
Wanderers
Page 1 of 7

Colon

(Away)
01 Nov
Colon
1 : 0
Atenas
26 Oct
Paysandu FC
3 : 2
Colon
16 Oct
Colon
3 : 0
Huracan FC
10 Oct
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Colon
04 Oct
Colon
0 : 0
Club Oriental De Futbol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 25 13 5 7 35:23 44
2 Rentistas 25 11 7 7 34:27 40
3 Colon 25 11 6 8 29:27 39
4 Plaza Colonia 25 10 8 7 31:25 38
5 Paysandu FC 25 10 5 10 33:32 35
6 River Plate Montevideo 25 9 7 9 37:32 34
7 Club Oriental De Futbol 25 8 10 7 34:30 34
8 Cerrito 25 8 10 7 32:29 34
9 La Luz 25 9 7 9 24:27 34
10 Fenix 25 7 10 8 28:30 31
11 Huracan FC 25 8 7 10 25:33 31
12 Miramar 25 7 9 9 26:31 30
13 Tacuarembo 25 6 8 11 19:28 26
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 25 5 7 13 23:36 22
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)