Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cerrito vs Fenix

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Estadio Charrúa, Montevideo
Cerrito Logo

Cerrito

1 - 1
FT
Fenix Logo

Fenix

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Silveira E.
Own Goal
73' Event
Batista L.
79'
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cerrito
30%
Draws
39%
Fenix
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Fenix average 1.39 goals a game right now, well clear of Cerrito's 1.17.
  • Cerrito are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 20%
Fenix Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrito Fenix
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.17 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2026 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Fenix
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Cerrito
4:1
Sep 22, 2025 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Fenix
2:2
Jun 29, 2025 Segunda Division
Fenix vs Cerrito
3:2
Sep 15, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerrito vs Fenix
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerrito Compare

Top Goalscorer Batista L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Fenix Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrito 36 / 100
Fenix 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrito Fenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Cerrito's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Fenix conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Cerrito stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerrito VS Fenix
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrito

(Home)
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
10 Sept
CA Cerro
0 : 2
Cerrito
05 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
Paysandu FC
02 Sept
Cerrito
0 : 2
Maldonado
29 Aug
Huracan FC
2 : 1
Cerrito
Page 1 of 6

Fenix

(Away)
13 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 1
Fenix
06 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Fenix
01 Sept
Colon
3 : 3
Fenix
30 Aug
Fenix
1 : 1
Miramar
27 Aug
Fenix
0 : 2
Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 18 10 3 5 28:18 33
2 Plaza Colonia 18 9 3 6 24:17 30
3 Colon 18 8 4 6 19:19 28
4 Rentistas 18 7 6 5 21:19 27
5 River Plate Montevideo 18 7 5 6 25:22 26
6 Club Oriental De Futbol 18 6 7 5 24:20 25
7 Fenix 18 6 7 5 22:20 25
8 Cerrito 18 6 7 5 22:20 25
9 Paysandu FC 18 7 2 9 23:24 23
10 Huracan FC 18 6 4 8 18:24 22
11 Tacuarembo 18 6 4 8 13:19 22
12 La Luz 18 5 6 7 14:20 21
13 Miramar 18 4 7 7 20:24 19
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 18 4 5 9 18:25 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)