Sport Picks

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay

Cerrito

0 - 2

Maldonado

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Mozzone E.

81'

Larrazabal G.

90'

Cartagena S.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%

Cerrito

15%

Draws

59%

Maldonado

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maldonado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Maldonado have won more games recently than Cerrito.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Maldonado arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Maldonado, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Maldonado have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Cerrito Clean Sheet 18%

Maldonado Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cerrito	Maldonado
Matches Played	29	34
Wins	10	17
Draws	10	10
Losses	9	7
Goals Scored	1.17	1.38
Goals Conceded	1.14	0.82
Expected Goals (xG)	0.94	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Copa Uruguay

Cerrito vs Maldonado

0:2

Oct 19, 2025 Segunda Division

Cerrito vs Maldonado

0:1

Jul 27, 2025 Segunda Division

Maldonado vs Cerrito

1:0

Aug 11, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Maldonado vs Cerrito

2:1

Feb 21, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Cerrito vs Maldonado

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerrito Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72

Avg xA / game 0.47

Maldonado Compare

Top Goalscorer Larrazabal G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrito 36 / 100

Maldonado 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cerrito Maldonado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maldonado Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cerrito scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Maldonado's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 34 matches.

Cerrito has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cerrito VS Maldonado

1.13 Goals Scored 1.5

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75

88% Over 1.5 75%

38% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrito

(Home)

13 Sept

Atenas

0 : 0

Cerrito

10 Sept

CA Cerro

0 : 2

Cerrito

05 Sept

Cerrito

1 : 2

Paysandu FC

02 Sept

Cerrito

0 : 2

Maldonado

29 Aug

Huracan FC

2 : 1

Cerrito

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Maldonado

(Away)

13 Sept

Defensor Sp.

1 : 0

Maldonado

09 Sept

Maldonado

4 : 1

Wanderers

05 Sept

Maldonado

2 : 0

Wanderers

02 Sept

Cerrito

0 : 2

Maldonado

29 Aug

Juventud

2 : 0

Maldonado

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