Sport Picks

Cerrito vs Maldonado - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay

Cerrito

0 - 2

Maldonado

Our Tip

Match Events

45'

Mozzone E.

81'

Larrazabal G.

90'

Cartagena S.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Cerrito

30%

Draws

47%

Maldonado

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maldonado

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Maldonado have won more games recently than Cerrito.
Maldonado are the model's pick here, at 70%.
Maldonado arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Maldonado, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Maldonado have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Cerrito Clean Sheet 10%

Maldonado Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cerrito	Maldonado
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	10	16
Draws	10	8
Losses	9	6
Goals Scored	1.34	1.83
Goals Conceded	1.21	0.83
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2026 Copa Uruguay

Cerrito vs Maldonado

0:2

Oct 19, 2025 Segunda Division

Cerrito vs Maldonado

0:1

Jul 27, 2025 Segunda Division

Maldonado vs Cerrito

1:0

Aug 11, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Maldonado vs Cerrito

2:1

Feb 21, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Cerrito vs Maldonado

0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerrito Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Maldonado Compare

Top Goalscorer Larrazabal G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrito 14 / 100

Maldonado 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cerrito Maldonado

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maldonado Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cerrito scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Maldonado conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Cerrito has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cerrito VS Maldonado

1.75 Goals Scored 2.25

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88

88% Over 1.5 100%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrito

(Home)

31 Oct

Fenix

1 : 1

Cerrito

25 Oct

Cerrito

2 : 2

Rentistas

17 Oct

Miramar

1 : 0

Cerrito

10 Oct

Cerrito

2 : 1

Tacuarembo

07 Oct

Cerrito

2 : 3

Wanderers

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Maldonado

(Away)

02 Nov

Albion

0 : 0

Maldonado

28 Oct

Porongos

0 : 4

Maldonado

24 Oct

Maldonado

2 : 1

Danubio

19 Oct

Club Nacional

3 : 2

Maldonado

15 Oct

Maldonado

4 : 1

Albion

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