Sport Picks

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Cerrito vs Miramar

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Estadio Charrúa, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Yepez I.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division game between Cerrito and Miramar finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerrito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cerrito
35%
Draws
32%
Miramar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Cerrito carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 68%
Miramar Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrito Miramar
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 6
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.24 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Miramar
1:0
Nov 4, 2023 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Miramar
1:6
Jun 18, 2023 Segunda Division
Miramar vs Cerrito
2:2
Apr 2, 2023 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Miramar
2:2
Aug 18, 2018 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Miramar
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerrito Compare

Top Goalscorer Yepez I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Miramar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrito 41 / 100
Miramar 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrito Miramar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerrito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Miramar conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Cerrito found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Cerrito stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerrito VS Miramar
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrito

(Home)
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3
Cerrito
20 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 1
River Plate Montevideo
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
10 Sept
CA Cerro
0 : 2
Cerrito
05 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
Paysandu FC
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Miramar

(Away)
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0
Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Club Oriental De Futbol
1 : 3
Miramar
05 Sept
Miramar
0 : 1
Colon
30 Aug
Fenix
1 : 1
Miramar
21 Aug
Miramar
1 : 1
Rentistas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 19 11 3 5 29:18 36
2 Club Oriental De Futbol 20 8 7 5 29:22 31
3 Plaza Colonia 19 9 4 6 25:18 31
4 River Plate Montevideo 20 8 6 6 29:23 30
5 Rentistas 20 8 6 6 24:22 30
6 Colon 20 8 5 7 20:23 29
7 Cerrito 19 6 8 5 23:21 26
8 Fenix 20 6 8 6 25:24 26
9 Paysandu FC 19 7 3 9 24:25 24
10 Huracan FC 19 6 5 8 19:25 23
11 Tacuarembo 19 6 5 8 14:20 23
12 Miramar 19 5 7 7 21:24 22
13 La Luz 19 5 6 8 14:21 21
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 20 4 5 11 19:29 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)