Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cerrito vs Paysandu FC

Uruguay Uruguay

Segunda Division Estadio Charrúa, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mendez A.
26' Event
Schetino A.
30' Event
Lopez L.

AI Match Summary

Paysandu FC in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Paysandu FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cerrito
35%
Draws
32%
Paysandu FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Paysandu FC haven't matched Cerrito's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Cerrito here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 20%
Paysandu FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrito Paysandu FC
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 4
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.24 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Paysandu FC
1:2
May 30, 2026 Segunda Division
Paysandu FC vs Cerrito
0:1
Dec 7, 2005 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerrito vs Paysandu FC
3:1
Mar 13, 2005 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerrito vs Paysandu FC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerrito Compare

Top Goalscorer Schetino A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Paysandu FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrito 32 / 100
Paysandu FC 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrito Paysandu FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paysandu FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Cerrito scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Cerrito went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerrito VS Paysandu FC
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrito

(Home)
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3
Cerrito
20 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 1
River Plate Montevideo
13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0
Cerrito
10 Sept
CA Cerro
0 : 2
Cerrito
05 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
Paysandu FC
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Paysandu FC

(Away)
19 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 1
Paysandu FC
12 Sept
Paysandu FC
0 : 1
La Luz
05 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
Paysandu FC
29 Aug
Paysandu FC
2 : 0
Atenas
22 Aug
Paysandu FC
0 : 0
River Plate Montevideo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atenas 19 11 3 5 29:18 36
2 Plaza Colonia 19 9 4 6 25:18 31
3 Colon 19 8 5 6 20:20 29
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 19 7 7 5 26:20 28
5 River Plate Montevideo 19 7 6 6 26:23 27
6 Rentistas 19 7 6 6 21:21 27
7 Fenix 19 6 8 5 23:21 26
8 Cerrito 19 6 8 5 23:21 26
9 Paysandu FC 19 7 3 9 24:25 24
10 Huracan FC 19 6 5 8 19:25 23
11 Tacuarembo 19 6 5 8 14:20 23
12 Miramar 19 5 7 7 21:24 22
13 La Luz 19 5 6 8 14:21 21
14 Uruguay Montevideo FC 19 4 5 10 18:26 17
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)