Sport Picks
Cerrito vs River Plate Montevideo
Uruguay
Segunda Division Estadio Charrúa, Montevideo 
Match Events
15'
15'
66'
66'
AI Match Summary
The Segunda Division game between Cerrito and River Plate Montevideo finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cerrito
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cerrito have managed 1.21 goals a game lately — River Plate Montevideo are scoring more at 1.38.
- Model gives Cerrito a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- River Plate Montevideo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 68%
River Plate Montevideo Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerrito | River Plate Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs River Plate Montevideo
1:1
Jun 14, 2026 Segunda Division
River Plate Montevideo vs Cerrito
6:4
Sep 5, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerrito vs River Plate Montevideo
1:5
Jun 10, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
River Plate Montevideo vs Cerrito
3:0
Feb 28, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
River Plate Montevideo vs Cerrito
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerrito 68 / 100
River Plate Montevideo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerrito River Plate Montevideo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cerrito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Cerrito scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
River Plate Montevideo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
River Plate Montevideo's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Cerrito VS River Plate Montevideo
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerrito
(Home) 13 Sept
Atenas
0 : 0 Cerrito
10 Sept
CA Cerro
0 : 2 Cerrito
05 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2 Paysandu FC
02 Sept
Cerrito
0 : 2 Maldonado
29 Aug
Huracan FC
2 : 1 Cerrito
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2 Paysandu FC
02 Sept
Cerrito
0 : 2 Maldonado
22 Aug
Cerrito
3 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
14 Aug
Cerrito
1 : 1 Club Oriental De Futbol
02 Aug
Cerrito
1 : 1 Fenix
Page 1 of 3
River Plate Montevideo
(Away) 16 Sept
Albion
0 : 0 River Plate Montevideo
13 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 1 Fenix
06 Sept
Atenas
3 : 2 River Plate Montevideo
03 Sept
River Plate Montevideo
2 : 3 Club Nacional
30 Aug
River Plate Montevideo
0 : 0 Rentistas
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Albion
0 : 0 River Plate Montevideo
06 Sept
Atenas
3 : 2 River Plate Montevideo
26 Aug
Progreso
0 : 2 River Plate Montevideo
22 Aug
Paysandu FC
0 : 0 River Plate Montevideo
02 Aug
Tacuarembo
1 : 0 River Plate Montevideo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 29:18 | 36 |
| 2 | Plaza Colonia | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 25:18 | 31 |
| 3 | Colon | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 20:20 | 29 |
| 4 | Rentistas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 21:19 | 27 |
| 5 | River Plate Montevideo | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 26 |
| 6 | Fenix | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 7 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24:20 | 25 |
| 8 | Cerrito | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Paysandu FC | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24:25 | 24 |
| 10 | Miramar | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 21:24 | 22 |
| 11 | Huracan FC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 18:24 | 22 |
| 12 | Tacuarembo | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 13:19 | 22 |
| 13 | La Luz | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | 21 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo FC | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 18:26 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)
