Sport Picks
Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Segunda Division Estadio Charrúa, Montevideo 
Match Events
6'
6'
Da Rocha A.
27'
27'
Da Rocha A.
38'
38'
Rodriguez L.
AI Match Summary
Cerrito in this Segunda Division matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cerrito.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
77%
15%
8%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cerrito
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
77%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Cerrito lately — more wins on the board than Uruguay Montevideo FC.
- 77% — that's where the model lands on Cerrito taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 68%
Uruguay Montevideo FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerrito | Uruguay Montevideo FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 22, 2026 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
3:0
May 16, 2026 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Cerrito
2:2
Apr 6, 2026 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Segunda Division
Cerrito vs Uruguay Montevideo FC
2:1
Jul 12, 2025 Segunda Division
Uruguay Montevideo FC vs Cerrito
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cerrito Compare
Top Goalscorer Da Rocha A.
2 Goals Assists Leader Isasmendi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Uruguay Montevideo FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerrito 95 / 100
Uruguay Montevideo FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerrito Uruguay Montevideo FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cerrito Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cerrito found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Uruguay Montevideo FC conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Solid form: Cerrito remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cerrito VS Uruguay Montevideo FC
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerrito
(Home) 10 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 1 Tacuarembo
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3 Wanderers
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3 Cerrito
27 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2 La Luz
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3 Cerrito
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 1 Tacuarembo
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3 Wanderers
27 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2 La Luz
20 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 1 River Plate Montevideo
05 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2 Paysandu FC
Page 1 of 3
Uruguay Montevideo FC
(Away) 10 Oct
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3 Colon
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3 Rentistas
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
12 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
2 : 2 Tacuarembo
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Fenix
2 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
19 Sept
Miramar
1 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
07 Sept
Plaza Colonia
1 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
22 Aug
Cerrito
3 : 0 Uruguay Montevideo FC
01 Aug
Huracan FC
1 : 3 Uruguay Montevideo FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atenas | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 30:18 | 40 |
| 2 | River Plate Montevideo | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 34:27 | 33 |
| 3 | Rentistas | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 27:25 | 33 |
| 4 | Colon | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 23:24 | 33 |
| 5 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 32 |
| 6 | Plaza Colonia | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 26:21 | 32 |
| 7 | Cerrito | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 29:25 | 32 |
| 8 | Fenix | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 27:24 | 29 |
| 9 | Paysandu FC | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:29 | 28 |
| 10 | La Luz | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 19:24 | 27 |
| 11 | Huracan FC | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 22:28 | 26 |
| 12 | Miramar | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 23:26 | 25 |
| 13 | Tacuarembo | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 17:25 | 24 |
| 14 | Uruguay Montevideo FC | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20:34 | 17 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya 2027 (Apertura)
