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Cerrito vs Wanderers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay Estadio Charrúa, Montevideo
Cerrito Logo

Cerrito

Wed, Oct 7, 2026
2 - 3
06:30 PM
Wanderers Logo

Wanderers

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Machado L.
52' Event
Machado L.
Penalty Missed
54' Event
Marques C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cerrito
20%
Draws
47%
Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Wanderers have won more games recently than Cerrito.
  • Cerrito are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Wanderers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Wanderers, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Cerrito Clean Sheet 19%
Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerrito Wanderers
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Cerrito vs Wanderers
2:3
Sep 23, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Wanderers vs Cerrito
1:3
Oct 14, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Wanderers vs Cerrito
2:1
May 22, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerrito vs Wanderers
0:2
Oct 24, 2021 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerrito vs Wanderers
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerrito Compare

Top Goalscorer Machado L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silveira E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sanchez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerrito 42 / 100
Wanderers 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerrito Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Cerrito scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Wanderers conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Cerrito has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cerrito VS Wanderers
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerrito

(Home)
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3
Wanderers
04 Oct
Plaza Colonia
1 : 3
Cerrito
27 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 2
La Luz
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3
Cerrito
20 Sept
Cerrito
1 : 1
River Plate Montevideo
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Wanderers

(Away)
07 Oct
Cerrito
2 : 3
Wanderers
04 Oct
CA Cerro
0 : 2
Wanderers
28 Sept
Wanderers
2 : 1
Albion
23 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 3
Cerrito
20 Sept
Danubio
1 : 1
Wanderers
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Cerrito 2
Wanderers 3
Maldonado -
Albion -
Boston River -
River Plate Montevideo -
Central Esp. -
Danubio -
Plaza Colonia 0
Juventud 1
Club Nacional -
Rentistas -
Liverpool M. -
Cerro Largo -
Penarol -
Montevideo City -
Quarter-finals
Wanderers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Juventud -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -