Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cerro Largo vs Albion

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cerro Largo host Albion in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Little to choose between these two on current form. Albion have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Cerro Largo have conceded 1.1 and scored 1. Head-to-head, Cerro Largo have won 0 to Albion's 3, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2026, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.06) back Albion to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Cerro Largo
30%
Draws
12%
Albion
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cerro Largo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Albion lately — more wins on the board than Cerro Largo.
  • Win probability leans Cerro Largo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cerro Largo Clean Sheet 20%
Albion Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerro Largo Albion
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Cerro Largo
2:2
Sep 18, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Albion
1:2
Apr 16, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Cerro Largo
2:1
Sep 4, 2018 Segunda Division
Cerro Largo vs Albion
1:1
Apr 7, 2018 Segunda Division
Albion vs Cerro Largo
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerro Largo 49 / 100
Albion 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerro Largo Albion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerro Largo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerro Largo found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Albion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Cerro Largo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerro Largo VS Albion
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerro Largo

(Home)
30 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 0
Rentistas
26 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 2
Club Nacional
19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0
Cerro Largo
12 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 0
Central Esp.
09 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 1
Defensor Sp.
Page 1 of 6

Albion

(Away)
28 Sept
Wanderers
2 : 1
Albion
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
16 Sept
Albion
0 : 0
River Plate Montevideo
13 Sept
Penarol
3 : 1
Albion
07 Sept
Albion
0 : 1
Progreso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 7 6 0 1 18:7 18
2 Liverpool M. 8 5 2 1 14:5 17
3 Penarol 7 5 1 1 13:5 15
4 Maldonado 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
5 Club Nacional 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 CA Cerro 8 4 2 2 9:9 14
7 Juventud 8 3 4 1 10:6 13
8 Racing Montevideo 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
9 Wanderers 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
10 Progreso 8 4 0 4 7:9 12
11 Boston River 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
12 Defensor Sp. 8 2 2 4 7:13 8
13 Cerro Largo 8 0 5 3 5:10 5
14 Central Esp. 8 1 2 5 5:13 5
15 Danubio 8 0 4 4 2:9 4
16 Albion 8 0 0 8 6:16 0
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)