Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cerro Largo vs Boston River

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Sub
Gonzalez Y. In: Perez F.
Out: Gonzalez Y.
45' Event
Hernandez A.
46'
Hernandez A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Cerro Largo and Boston River finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerro Largo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cerro Largo
6%
Draws
4%
Boston River
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cerro Largo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Boston River haven't matched Cerro Largo's recent run of results.
  • Cerro Largo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cerro Largo Clean Sheet 68%
Boston River Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerro Largo Boston River
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Boston River
3:0
Apr 20, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs Cerro Largo
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Boston River
2:2
Apr 13, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs Cerro Largo
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Boston River vs Cerro Largo
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerro Largo Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Correa T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Boston River Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerro Largo 95 / 100
Boston River 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerro Largo Boston River

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Boston River let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Cerro Largo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Cerro Largo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cerro Largo VS Boston River
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Penarol53116:310
2Cerro Largo52216:28
3Central Esp.52214:38
4Racing Montevideo51403:27
5CA Cerro52034:86
6Boston River51225:65
7Liverpool M.51223:45
8Defensor Sp.50323:63
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wanderers633010:412
2Maldonado532012:511
3Club Nacional63126:710
4Montevideo City530210:99
5Juventud62138:117
6Albion61234:65
7Danubio50323:63
8Progreso51044:93