Sport Picks
Cerro Largo vs CA Cerro
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo 
Match Events
2'
2'
Jourdan E.
12'
12'
Correa L.
30'
30'
Franca S.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: CA Cerro
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
18%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Cerro Largo at 1.04 per game, CA Cerro at 0.71.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Cerro Largo Clean Sheet 68%
CA Cerro Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerro Largo | CA Cerro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.04 | 0.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 29, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs CA Cerro
2:0
Apr 10, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs CA Cerro
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Cerro Largo
0:1
Jun 19, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
CA Cerro vs Cerro Largo
2:1
Mar 17, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs CA Cerro
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cerro Largo Compare
Top Goalscorer Correa L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
CA Cerro Compare
Top Goalscorer Macelli A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerro Largo 41 / 100
CA Cerro 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerro Largo CA Cerro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cerro Largo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cerro Largo scored in 68% of their last 28 games.
CA Cerro let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Cerro Largo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Cerro Largo VS CA Cerro
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerro Largo
(Home) 04 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
30 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Liverpool M.
26 Aug
Plaza Colonia
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
22 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
15 Aug
Wanderers
1 : 1 Cerro Largo
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Liverpool M.
22 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
07 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Juventud
13 Jul
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
29 May
Cerro Largo
2 : 0 CA Cerro
Page 1 of 3
CA Cerro
(Away) 06 Sept
CA Cerro
1 : 0 Racing Montevideo
01 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 CA Cerro
29 Aug
Boston River
1 : 1 CA Cerro
21 Aug
Liverpool M.
4 : 0 CA Cerro
15 Aug
CA Cerro
2 : 1 Albion
Page 1 of 6
01 Sept
Wanderers
1 : 1 CA Cerro
29 Aug
Boston River
1 : 1 CA Cerro
21 Aug
Liverpool M.
4 : 0 CA Cerro
09 Aug
Danubio
0 : 1 CA Cerro
03 Aug
Defensor Sp.
2 : 1 CA Cerro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Esp. | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Montevideo City | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sp. | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool M. | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
