Sport Picks
Cerro Largo vs Central Esp. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo 
Match Events
13'
13'
Sosa F.
38'
38'
Jourdan E.
57'
57'
Sub
Jourdan E. In: Lozano B.
Out: Jourdan E.
AI Match Summary
The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Cerro Largo and Central Esp. finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cerro Largo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Central Esp. carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Cerro Largo's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Cerro Largo Clean Sheet 68%
Central Esp. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Central Esp. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 10 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.53 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Central Esp.
0:0
Jul 25, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Central Esp. vs Cerro Largo
0:1
Mar 15, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Central Esp. vs Cerro Largo
1:3
Sep 22, 2018 Segunda Division
Central Esp. vs Cerro Largo
0:0
Apr 28, 2018 Segunda Division
Cerro Largo vs Central Esp.
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerro Largo 95 / 100
Central Esp. 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerro Largo Central Esp.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cerro Largo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cerro Largo scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Central Esp.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Central Esp.'s recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Cerro Largo VS Central Esp.
0.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerro Largo
(Home) 31 Oct
Racing Montevideo
3 : 1 Cerro Largo
25 Oct
Cerro Largo
2 : 0 Boston River
21 Oct
Liverpool M.
1 : 0 Cerro Largo
16 Oct
CA Cerro
1 : 1 Cerro Largo
11 Oct
Cerro Largo
0 : 1 Albion
Page 1 of 6
25 Oct
Cerro Largo
2 : 0 Boston River
11 Oct
Cerro Largo
0 : 1 Albion
30 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 0 Rentistas
26 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 2 Club Nacional
12 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 0 Central Esp.
Page 1 of 3
Central Esp.
(Away) 31 Oct
CA Cerro
1 : 2 Central Esp.
24 Oct
Central Esp.
1 : 3 Albion
18 Oct
Danubio
1 : 0 Central Esp.
15 Oct
Central Esp.
0 : 6 Danubio
11 Oct
Central Esp.
0 : 1 Club Nacional
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
CA Cerro
1 : 2 Central Esp.
18 Oct
Danubio
1 : 0 Central Esp.
03 Oct
Maldonado
3 : 0 Central Esp.
12 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 0 Central Esp.
09 Sept
Racing Montevideo
2 : 4 Central Esp.
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 22:8 | 30 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 26:14 | 28 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 26 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Penarol | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Progreso | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 13:15 | 19 |
| 8 | Juventud | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12:10 | 18 |
| 9 | CA Cerro | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | 18 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Boston River | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15:17 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:20 | 13 |
| 13 | Defensor Sp. | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:23 | 12 |
| 14 | Danubio | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 7:15 | 10 |
| 15 | Cerro Largo | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Esp. | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8:22 | 8 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
