Sport Picks
Cerro Largo vs Defensor Sp.
Uruguay
Copa Uruguay 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa Uruguay. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Cerro Largo at 1.07 goals for, 1.1 against; Defensor Sp. at 0.68 for, 1.11 against. Head-to-head, Cerro Largo have won 1 to Defensor Sp.'s 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.19 - 0.94) back Cerro Largo to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Defensor Sp. haven't matched Cerro Largo's recent run of results.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Cerro Largo taking it.
- Cerro Largo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cerro Largo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Defensor Sp. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cerro Largo scored in 70% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Defensor Sp. conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Cerro Largo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Cerro Largo
(Home)Defensor Sp.
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Danubio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Atenas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Colonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Defensor Sp. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 3 | Rentistas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerro Largo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maldonado | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 2 | CA Cerro | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 3 | Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerrito | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Esp. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Racing Montevideo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Juventud | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 3 | River Plate Montevideo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool M. | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Boston River | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Colon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 1 |
| 4 | Fenix | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
