Sport Picks
Cerro Largo vs Juventud
Uruguay
Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo 
Match Events
8'
8'
Pandiani A.
39'
39'
Pandiani A.
43'
43'
Caceres M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
18%
35%
47%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Juventud
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Juventud have won more games recently than Cerro Largo.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Juventud taking it.
- Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Cerro Largo Clean Sheet 19%
Juventud Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerro Largo | Juventud |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.14 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 7, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Juventud
1:1
Feb 8, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Cerro Largo
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Juventud vs Cerro Largo
0:2
Jan 31, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Juventud
1:1
Oct 16, 2019 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Juventud
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cerro Largo Compare
Top Goalscorer Pandiani A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Juventud Compare
Top Goalscorer Pereiro G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerro Largo 28 / 100
Juventud 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerro Largo Juventud
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Juventud Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cerro Largo scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Juventud let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Cerro Largo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cerro Largo VS Juventud
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerro Largo
(Home) 19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0 Cerro Largo
12 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 0 Central Esp.
09 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
04 Sept
Montevideo City
2 : 1 Cerro Largo
30 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 0 Central Esp.
09 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
30 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Liverpool M.
22 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Defensor Sp.
07 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Juventud
Page 1 of 3
Juventud
(Away) 20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3 Juventud
17 Sept
Juventud
3 : 0 Racing Montevideo
13 Sept
Juventud
1 : 1 Danubio
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2 Juventud
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0 Juventud
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3 Juventud
06 Sept
Club Nacional
2 : 2 Juventud
02 Sept
Central Esp.
3 : 0 Juventud
22 Aug
Central Esp.
0 : 1 Juventud
07 Aug
Cerro Largo
1 : 1 Juventud
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montevideo City | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 18:5 | 18 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:4 | 14 |
| 3 | CA Cerro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Penarol | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 12 |
| 6 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 8 | Club Nacional | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 9 | Wanderers | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 10 | Progreso | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5:8 | 9 |
| 11 | Boston River | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 8 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Defensor Sp. | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 5 |
| 14 | Central Esp. | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:11 | 5 |
| 15 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:8 | 4 |
| 16 | Albion | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5:14 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)
