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Cerro Largo vs Liverpool M. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo
Cerro Largo Logo

Cerro Largo

1 - 1
FT
Liverpool M. Logo

Liverpool M.

Our Tip

Match Events

41'
Hernandez A.
43' Event
Bentancourt R.
47'
Garayalde N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Cerro Largo and Liverpool M. finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Cerro Largo
20%
Draws
57%
Liverpool M.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Liverpool M.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Liverpool M. come out ahead of Cerro Largo on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Liverpool M. taking it.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Cerro Largo Clean Sheet 19%
Liverpool M. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerro Largo Liverpool M.
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 12
Draws 10 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.96 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Liverpool M.
1:1
Jun 8, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Cerro Largo
0:0
Mar 1, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Cerro Largo
2:0
Nov 7, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Liverpool M.
2:0
Jun 7, 2025 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Liverpool M. vs Cerro Largo
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerro Largo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pandiani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Liverpool M. Compare

Top Goalscorer Bentancourt R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerro Largo 20 / 100
Liverpool M. 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerro Largo Liverpool M.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Liverpool M. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerro Largo's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Liverpool M. let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Cerro Largo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerro Largo VS Liverpool M.
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerro Largo

(Home)
04 Oct
Danubio
2 : 1
Cerro Largo
30 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 0
Rentistas
26 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 2
Club Nacional
19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0
Cerro Largo
12 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 0
Central Esp.
Page 1 of 6

Liverpool M.

(Away)
03 Oct
Liverpool M.
3 : 2
Progreso
27 Sept
Central Esp.
1 : 2
Liverpool M.
23 Sept
Liverpool M.
3 : 0
Colon
20 Sept
Liverpool M.
0 : 0
Racing Montevideo
14 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 1
Liverpool M.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 10 7 1 2 20:10 22
2 Liverpool M. 9 6 2 1 17:7 20
3 Penarol 9 6 2 1 15:6 19
4 Maldonado 9 5 2 2 13:5 17
5 Club Nacional 9 5 2 2 13:9 17
6 Wanderers 9 4 3 2 12:11 15
7 Juventud 9 3 5 1 10:6 14
8 CA Cerro 9 4 2 3 9:11 14
9 Racing Montevideo 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Progreso 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
11 Boston River 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
12 Defensor Sp. 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
13 Danubio 10 1 4 5 4:11 7
14 Cerro Largo 9 0 5 4 6:12 5
15 Central Esp. 9 1 2 6 5:16 5
16 Albion 9 1 0 8 9:18 3
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)