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Cerro Largo vs Rentistas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Copa Uruguay
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Barone B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Cerro Largo
15%
Draws
59%
Rentistas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rentistas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Rentistas have won more games recently than Cerro Largo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Rentistas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cerro Largo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Cerro Largo Clean Sheet 19%
Rentistas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerro Largo Rentistas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.96 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Cerro Largo vs Rentistas
1:0
Oct 11, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Rentistas
2:1
May 21, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Rentistas vs Cerro Largo
2:0
Nov 15, 2021 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Rentistas
1:1
Jul 30, 2021 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Rentistas vs Cerro Largo
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerro Largo Compare

Top Goalscorer Barone B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Rentistas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerro Largo 32 / 100
Rentistas 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerro Largo Rentistas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rentistas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerro Largo's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Rentistas let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Cerro Largo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cerro Largo VS Rentistas
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerro Largo

(Home)
04 Oct
Danubio
2 : 1
Cerro Largo
30 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 0
Rentistas
26 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 2
Club Nacional
19 Sept
Maldonado
2 : 0
Cerro Largo
12 Sept
Cerro Largo
0 : 0
Central Esp.
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Rentistas

(Away)
03 Oct
Rentistas
2 : 1
Huracan FC
30 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 0
Rentistas
26 Sept
Uruguay Montevideo FC
1 : 3
Rentistas
20 Sept
Rentistas
0 : 2
Club Oriental De Futbol
16 Sept
Rentistas
2 : 1
Plaza Colonia
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Penarol 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Montevideo City 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Danubio 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 Atenas 3 0 2 1 7:8 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plaza Colonia 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
2 Cerro Largo 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Rentistas 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Defensor Sp. 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maldonado 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Cerrito 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 CA Cerro 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
4 Wanderers 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Esp. 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
2 Juventud 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Racing Montevideo 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Club Oriental De Futbol 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Nacional 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
2 Albion 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 River Plate Montevideo 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
4 Progreso 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston River 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Liverpool M. 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fenix 3 0 1 2 5:8 1
4 Colon 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Copa Uruguay (Play Offs)