Sport Picks
Cerro Porteno vs Guarani Prediction & H2H Stats
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Iturbe J. In: Klimowicz M.
Out: Iturbe J.
57'
57'
Martinez L.
60'
60'
Sub
Morel J. In: Noguera F.
Out: Morel J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guarani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cerro Porteno come out ahead of Guarani on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Cerro Porteno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cerro Porteno, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 20%
Guarani Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerro Porteno | Guarani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.87 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Cerro Porteno
1:1
May 11, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Guarani
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Cerro Porteno
0:2
Nov 2, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Guarani
1:0
Aug 16, 2025 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs Cerro Porteno
3:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerro Porteno 32 / 100
Guarani 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerro Porteno Guarani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cerro Porteno's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Recent resilience: Cerro Porteno stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Guarani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Cerro Porteno VS Guarani
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerro Porteno
(Home) 30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
30 Aug
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
19 Aug
Cerro Porteno
0 : 1 Palmeiras
Page 1 of 3
Guarani
(Away) 25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Guarani
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Guarani
25 Aug
2 de Mayo
0 : 0 Guarani
12 Aug
Sportivo Iteno
2 : 1 Guarani
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
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