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Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción
Thu, Nov 5, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 2-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Cerro Porteno have averaged 1.24 scored and 0.94 conceded recently, against Olimpia Asuncion's 1.8 scored and 1.14 conceded. Head-to-head, Cerro Porteno have won 1 to Olimpia Asuncion's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Aug 23, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.25, favoring Olimpia Asuncion. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cerro Porteno
20%
Draws
38%
Olimpia Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Olimpia Asuncion lately — more wins on the board than Cerro Porteno.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Olimpia Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Olimpia Asuncion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 19%
Olimpia Asuncion Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerro Porteno Olimpia Asuncion
Matches Played 34 35
Wins 16 20
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.8
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno
3:0
Feb 21, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Olimpia Asuncion
1:1
Aug 3, 2025 Copa de Primera
Olimpia Asuncion vs Cerro Porteno
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerro Porteno 32 / 100
Olimpia Asuncion 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerro Porteno Olimpia Asuncion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerro Porteno scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

Olimpia Asuncion let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cerro Porteno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerro Porteno VS Olimpia Asuncion
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerro Porteno

(Home)
10 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 3
Cerro Porteno
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1
Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
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Olimpia Asuncion

(Away)
11 Oct
Rubio Nu
0 : 0
Olimpia Asuncion
06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1
Olimpia Asuncion
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3
Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 2 de Mayo 14 8 4 2 17:13 28
2 Olimpia Asuncion 14 8 3 3 22:10 27
3 Libertad Asuncion 14 8 3 3 23:16 27
4 Nacional Asuncion 14 7 5 2 21:8 26
5 Sportivo Trinidense 14 7 3 4 24:14 24
6 Guarani 14 5 7 2 16:12 22
7 Cerro Porteno 14 6 2 6 18:14 20
8 Sportivo Ameliano 14 4 6 4 15:16 18
9 Sp. Luqueno 14 4 1 9 14:27 13
10 Rubio Nu 14 3 4 7 15:24 13
11 Recoleta 14 2 2 10 14:27 8
12 San Lorenzo 14 0 4 10 5:23 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)