Sport Picks
Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción 
Match Events
5'
5'
Torres J.
Penalty Missed
11'
11'
Iturbe J.
Assist: Benitez A. G.
46'
46'
Sub
Pinatares B. In: Torres I.
Out: Pinatares B.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
35%
30%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Cerro Porteno carry the better recent record into this one.
- 30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Cerro Porteno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cerro Porteno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 25%
San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerro Porteno | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 0.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo
1:0
Mar 28, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo
2:0
Jan 27, 2026 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno
2:4
Dec 13, 2020 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo
1:1
Oct 2, 2020 Copa de Primera
San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cerro Porteno Compare
Top Goalscorer Iturbe J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
San Lorenzo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cerro Porteno 37 / 100
San Lorenzo 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cerro Porteno San Lorenzo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick San Lorenzo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cerro Porteno found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).
San Lorenzo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Cerro Porteno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cerro Porteno VS San Lorenzo
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Cerro Porteno
(Home) 05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2 2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1 Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2 2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Rubio Nu
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
30 Aug
Cerro Porteno
1 : 1 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
San Lorenzo
(Away) 10 Oct
San Lorenzo
1 : 1 Sportivo Trinidense
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
23 Sept
San Lorenzo
2 : 1 4 de Mayo
20 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Guarani
1 : 1 San Lorenzo
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
01 Sept
Rubio Nu
3 : 1 San Lorenzo
24 Aug
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
16 Aug
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Sportivo Trinidense | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 18:14 | 20 |
| 8 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 14:27 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5:23 | 4 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
