Sport Picks

Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio General Pablo Rojas

Cerro Porteno

2 - 0

San Lorenzo

Our Tip

Match Events

49'

Vegetti P.

Assist: Dominguez C.

59'

Sub

Paez E. In: Bobadilla C.

Out: Paez E.

68'

Sub

Vegetti P. In: Aliseda I.

Out: Vegetti P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cerro Porteno in this Copa de Primera matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cerro Porteno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Cerro Porteno

Draws

San Lorenzo

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Cerro Porteno have won more games recently than San Lorenzo.
Model gives Cerro Porteno a 90% chance of winning this.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 39.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 7%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%

Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 68%

San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cerro Porteno	San Lorenzo
Matches Played	32	29
Wins	17	7
Draws	8	8
Losses	7	14
Goals Scored	0.63	0.43
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.14
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.14

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Copa de Primera

Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo

Possession: 46% - 41% Cards: 4 - 2

2:0

Jan 27, 2026 Copa de Primera

San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno

Possession: 54% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

2:4

Dec 13, 2020 Copa de Primera

Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Oct 2, 2020 Copa de Primera

San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno

Possession: 53% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Aug 2, 2020 Copa de Primera

Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo

Possession: 49% - 44% Cards: 3 - 1

4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerro Porteno Compare

Top Goalscorer Vegetti P.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Dominguez C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

San Lorenzo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.39

Avg xA / game 0.24

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerro Porteno 95 / 100

San Lorenzo 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cerro Porteno San Lorenzo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CER Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Cerro Porteno scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: San Lorenzo conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Cerro Porteno remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cerro Porteno VS San Lorenzo

0.63 Goals Scored 0.43

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.14

50% Over 1.5 29%

25% Over 2.5 29%

0% Over 3.5 14%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpia Asuncion	22	15	4	3	37:17	49
2	Nacional Asuncion	22	10	9	3	31:22	39
3	Cerro Porteno	22	11	5	6	30:22	38
4	Sportivo Ameliano	22	8	9	5	27:21	33
5	Sportivo Trinidense	22	8	8	6	30:24	32
6	Libertad Asuncion	22	9	4	9	34:26	31
7	Guarani	22	7	8	7	27:23	29
8	Recoleta	22	8	4	10	35:32	28
9	Rubio Nu	22	6	5	11	15:26	23
10	2 de Mayo	22	5	7	10	18:35	22
11	Sp. Luqueno	22	5	5	12	24:33	20
12	San Lorenzo	22	3	6	13	14:41	15