Sport Picks
Cerro Porteno vs San Lorenzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa Paraguay Estadio Defensores del Chaco, Asunción 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa Paraguay. This one's hard to separate. Cerro Porteno have averaged 1.23 scored and 0.97 conceded recently, against San Lorenzo's 0.61 scored and 1.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Cerro Porteno slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 16, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.69) point toward Cerro Porteno. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Cerro Porteno have won more games recently than San Lorenzo.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Cerro Porteno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Cerro Porteno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cerro Porteno | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 0.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Cerro Porteno scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.
San Lorenzo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Cerro Porteno stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
