Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cerro Porteno vs Sol de America

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa Paraguay Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cerro Porteno play Sol de America in the Copa Paraguay. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cerro Porteno averaged 1 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. Sol de America averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.88 conceded. In past meetings, Cerro Porteno won 4, Sol de America won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Oct 7, 2025 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Cerro Porteno and 1.25 for Sol de America. This points to a Cerro Porteno double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Cerro Porteno
33%
Draws
27%
Sol de America
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cerro Porteno has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sol de America.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Cerro Porteno.
  • Cup tournament structure in Copa Paraguay increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 19%
Sol de America Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerro Porteno Sol de America
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2025 Copa Paraguay
Cerro Porteno vs Sol de America
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Copa de Primera
Sol de America vs Cerro Porteno
0:1
Oct 9, 2024 Copa Paraguay
Cerro Porteno vs Sol de America
1:2
Aug 11, 2024 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sol de America
1:0
May 19, 2024 Copa de Primera
Sol de America vs Cerro Porteno
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerro Porteno Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sol de America Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerro Porteno 40 / 100
Sol de America 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerro Porteno Sol de America

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerro Porteno scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Sol de America let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Cerro Porteno went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Sol de America lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cerro Porteno VS Sol de America
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Fernando de la Mora0
Olimpia Asuncion3
Sportivo Carapegua0
Atletico Tembetary1
Encarnacion FC1
2 de Mayo2
Minga Guazu2
Sp. Luqueno1
24 de Setiembre0
Libertad Asuncion5
Benjamin Aceval0
Guarani3
Club River Plate1
Deportivo Santani0
Silvio Pettirossi0
Resistencia2
Pastoreo0
Cerro Porteno3
Sol de America1
Recoleta0
12 de Junio0
Sportivo Ameliano1
Deportivo Humaita FBC2
General Caballero JLM4
Club Sportivo Limpeno0
Sportivo Trinidense4
1 de Enero0
Nacional Asuncion5
12 de Octubre3
Guarani de Fram1
San Lorenzo1
Tacuary2
1/8-finals
Olimpia Asuncion2
Atletico Tembetary3
2 de Mayo2
Minga Guazu1
Libertad Asuncion2
Guarani3
Club River Plate2
Resistencia1
Cerro Porteno1
Sol de America0
Sportivo Ameliano0
General Caballero JLM1
Sportivo Trinidense0
Nacional Asuncion1
12 de Octubre1
Tacuary0
Quarter-finals
Atletico Tembetary0
2 de Mayo2
Guarani2
Club River Plate0
Cerro Porteno0
General Caballero JLM1
Nacional Asuncion2
12 de Octubre0
Semi-finals
2 de Mayo1
Guarani0
General Caballero JLM2
Nacional Asuncion1
Final
2 de Mayo0
General Caballero JLM1
Guarani0
Nacional Asuncion4