Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cerro Porteno vs Sp. Luqueno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio General Pablo Rojas, Asunción
Cerro Porteno Logo

Cerro Porteno

3 - 0
FT
Sp. Luqueno Logo

Sp. Luqueno

Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Morel J.
36' Event
Vegetti P.
43'
Diaz J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cerro Porteno
15%
Draws
34%
Sp. Luqueno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cerro Porteno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Sp. Luqueno haven't matched Cerro Porteno's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cerro Porteno's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Cerro Porteno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cerro Porteno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cerro Porteno have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Cerro Porteno Clean Sheet 68%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerro Porteno Sp. Luqueno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.21 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno
0:3
Aug 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sp. Luqueno
3:0
Mar 31, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno
2:3
Feb 2, 2026 Copa de Primera
Cerro Porteno vs Sp. Luqueno
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Cerro Porteno
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cerro Porteno Compare

Top Goalscorer Morel J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Vegetti P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Sp. Luqueno Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerro Porteno 68 / 100
Sp. Luqueno 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerro Porteno Sp. Luqueno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cerro Porteno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cerro Porteno scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Sp. Luqueno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Cerro Porteno has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cerro Porteno VS Sp. Luqueno
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cerro Porteno

(Home)
10 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 3
Cerro Porteno
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
30 Sept
Cerro Porteno
2 : 1
Rubio Nu
26 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
2 : 1
Cerro Porteno
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 6

Sp. Luqueno

(Away)
10 Oct
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 3
Cerro Porteno
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Sportivo Trinidense 14 7 3 4 24:14 24
5 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Cerro Porteno 14 6 2 6 18:14 20
8 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
9 Sp. Luqueno 14 4 1 9 14:27 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 14 0 4 10 5:23 4
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)