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Certaldo vs Ravenna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D 2023/2024
Certaldo Logo

Certaldo

0 - 0
FT
Ravenna Logo

Ravenna

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Certaldo
20%
Draws
61%
Ravenna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ravenna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Ravenna have won more games recently than Certaldo.
  • Win probability leans Ravenna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Certaldo Clean Sheet 21%
Ravenna Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Certaldo Ravenna
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 6 20
Draws 6 11
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 0.73 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group D
Ravenna vs Certaldo
3:0
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Certaldo vs Ravenna
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Certaldo 10 / 100
Ravenna 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Certaldo Ravenna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ravenna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Certaldo scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Ravenna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 38 matches.

Certaldo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ravenna
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Certaldo

(Home)
05 May
Carpi
5 : 1
Certaldo
28 Apr
Certaldo
3 : 2
Aglianese Calcio
21 Apr
Ravenna
3 : 0
Certaldo
14 Apr
Certaldo
1 : 6
Corticella
07 Apr
Victor San Marino
1 : 1
Certaldo
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Ravenna

(Away)
16 Sept
Ostiamare
0 : 1
Ravenna
13 Sept
Ravenna
3 : 0
Perugia
06 Sept
Pescara
0 : 0
Ravenna
01 Sept
Ravenna
2 : 1
Forli FC
29 Aug
Ravenna
3 : 1
Latina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carpi 32 21 5 6 66:31 68
2 Ravenna 32 19 9 4 56:13 66
3 Corticella 32 18 3 11 59:40 57
4 Victor San Marino 32 17 6 9 44:37 57
5 Lentigione 32 16 8 8 49:31 56
6 Forli FC 32 16 7 9 48:35 55
7 Prato 32 12 8 12 37:41 44
8 Sangiuliano City 32 12 8 12 32:37 44
9 Fanfulla 32 11 10 11 28:35 43
10 Sant'Angelo 32 11 8 13 47:44 41
11 Aglianese Calcio 32 11 8 13 32:39 41
12 Imolese 32 12 6 14 31:33 40
13 Sammaurese 32 11 4 17 37:48 37
14 SCD Progresso 32 11 4 17 27:43 37
15 San Donnino 32 5 10 17 32:58 25
16 Certaldo 32 6 6 20 22:55 24
17 Mezzolara 32 5 6 21 23:50 21
18 Pistoiese 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2023/2024 (Play Offs)