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Certosa V. Campagnano vs Aranova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Massimo E.
88' Event
Marrali M.
90' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Certosa V. Campagnano in this Serie D - Group G matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Certosa V. Campagnano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Certosa V. Campagnano
20%
Draws
24%
Aranova
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Certosa V. Campagnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Certosa V. Campagnano lately — more wins on the board than Aranova.
  • Win probability leans Certosa V. Campagnano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Certosa V. Campagnano Clean Sheet 20%
Aranova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Certosa V. Campagnano Aranova
Matches Played 7 6
Wins 5 1
Draws 0 3
Losses 2 2
Goals Scored 2 1
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group G
Certosa V. Campagnano vs Aranova
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Certosa V. Campagnano Compare

Top Goalscorer Marrali M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Aranova Compare

Top Goalscorer Massimo E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.67
Avg xA / game 0.41

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Certosa V. Campagnano 85 / 100
Aranova 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Certosa V. Campagnano Aranova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Certosa V. Campagnano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Certosa V. Campagnano scored in 86% of their last 7 games.

Aranova's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 6 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Certosa V. Campagnano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Certosa V. Campagnano VS Aranova
1.75 Goals Scored 0.86
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 57%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Certosa V. Campagnano

(Home)
07 Oct
Certosa V. Campagnano
4 : 1
Albalonga
04 Oct
Certosa V. Campagnano
2 : 1
Aranova
27 Sept
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 1
Certosa V. Campagnano
20 Sept
Certosa V. Campagnano
1 : 0
Atl. Lodigiani
16 Sept
Sarrabus Ogliastra
0 : 2
Certosa V. Campagnano
Page 1 of 2

Aranova

(Away)
04 Oct
Certosa V. Campagnano
2 : 1
Aranova
27 Sept
Aranova
1 : 1
Latte Dolce
20 Sept
Monastir
2 : 1
Aranova
16 Sept
Aranova
1 : 0
Albalonga
12 Sept
Budoni Calcio
2 : 2
Aranova
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sarnese 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Monastir 6 4 1 1 17:9 13
3 Certosa V. Campagnano 6 4 0 2 10:4 12
4 Unipomezia 6 3 2 1 11:6 11
5 Ossese 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
6 Trastevere Calcio 6 3 2 1 8:10 11
7 Paganese 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
8 Anzio Calcio 1924 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
9 Albalonga 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
10 Gelbison 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
11 Budoni Calcio 6 2 1 3 10:13 7
12 Citta di Anagni 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
13 Aranova 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
14 Afragolese 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
15 Sarrabus Ogliastra 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Latte Dolce 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
17 US Venafro 6 1 1 4 4:10 4
18 Atl. Lodigiani 6 0 1 5 8:17 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group G (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G (Play Out)