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Cerveira vs Maria de Fonte

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 game between Cerveira and Maria de Fonte finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cerveira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Cerveira
17%
Draws
13%
Maria de Fonte
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Cerveira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Maria de Fonte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cerveira a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Cerveira Clean Sheet 68%
Maria de Fonte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cerveira Maria de Fonte
Matches Played 24 32
Wins 4 9
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0 1.75
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs Cerveira
1:0
Nov 29, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Cerveira vs Maria de Fonte
1:0
Apr 5, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Maria de Fonte vs Cerveira
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Cerveira vs Maria de Fonte
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerveira 77 / 100
Maria de Fonte 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cerveira Maria de Fonte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maria de Fonte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Maria de Fonte lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Cerveira found the back of the net in 42% of recent matches (24 games).

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maria de Fonte
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Braga B22174161:1255
2Merelinense22153434:1348
3CDC Montalegre22108436:2438
4SC Mirandela2298524:1635
5Maria de Fonte2295830:2932
6SC Vianense2295826:2832
7Vilaverdense FC2277828:3028
8Pedras Salgadas2268819:2326
9Vidago22651127:3623
10GD Braganca22481016:2520
11Cerveira22361311:2715
12Aguia Vimioso22151612:618
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Camacha00000:00
2Mondinense00000:00
3Tirsense00000:00
4AD Fafe00000:00
5FC Felgueiras00000:00
6Brito00000:00
7Vitoria Guimaraes B00000:00
8Sao Martinho00000:00
9Rio Ave B00000:00
10Berco00000:00
11Pevidem00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gondomar00000:00
2Trofense00000:00
3U. Madeira00000:00
4Leca00000:00
5Coimbroes00000:00
6Paredes00000:00
7Amarante FC00000:00
8Camara de Lobos00000:00
9SC Salgueiros00000:00
10SC Vila Real00000:00
11Maritimo B00000:00
12Pedras Rubras00000:00
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vitoria Setubal00000:00
2Olhanense00000:00
3Juv. Evora00000:00
4Louletano00000:00
5Aljustrelense00000:00
6Pinhalnovense00000:00
7Esperanca de Lagos00000:00
8Moura AC00000:00
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12Armacenenses00000:00