Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021

SC Mirandela

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cerveira play SC Mirandela in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cerveira averaged 0.54 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. SC Mirandela averaged 0.78 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Cerveira won 1, SC Mirandela won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 3, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Cerveira and 1.11 for SC Mirandela. This points to a SC Mirandela double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Cerveira

23%

Draws

48%

SC Mirandela

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: SC Mirandela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Cerveira picked up more points recently compared to SC Mirandela.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 56%

Over 2.5 Goals 28%

Over 3.5 Goals 17%

Over 4.5 Goals 8%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%

Cerveira Clean Sheet 21%

SC Mirandela Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 50%

Second Half Goal 53%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Cerveira	SC Mirandela
Matches Played	24	32
Wins	4	12
Draws	6	3
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	0.54	0.78
Goals Conceded	1.21	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Cerveira vs SC Mirandela

Possession: 54% - 54% Cards: 3 - 4

0:0

Sep 20, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

SC Mirandela vs Cerveira

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Feb 23, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

SC Mirandela vs Cerveira

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 3 - 0

1:2

Oct 5, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Cerveira vs SC Mirandela

Possession: 53% - 47% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Dec 7, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

SC Mirandela vs Cerveira

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cerveira 30 / 100

SC Mirandela 46 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Cerveira SC Mirandela

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: SC Mirandela or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +38%

4.76

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +27.4%

4.55

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cerveira attacking → ← attacking SC Mirandela

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cerveira scored in 42% of their last 24 games.

SC Mirandela let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Cerveira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

SC Mirandela lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 39

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Braga B	22	17	4	1	61:12	55
2	Merelinense	22	15	3	4	34:13	48
3	CDC Montalegre	22	10	8	4	36:24	38
4	SC Mirandela	22	9	8	5	24:16	35
5	Maria de Fonte	22	9	5	8	30:29	32
6	SC Vianense	22	9	5	8	26:28	32
7	Vilaverdense FC	22	7	7	8	28:30	28
8	Pedras Salgadas	22	6	8	8	19:23	26
9	Vidago	22	6	5	11	27:36	23
10	GD Braganca	22	4	8	10	16:25	20
11	Cerveira	22	3	6	13	11:27	15
12	Aguia Vimioso	22	1	5	16	12:61	8

Pos	Team	GD
1	Camacha	0:0
2	Mondinense	0:0
3	Tirsense	0:0
4	AD Fafe	0:0
5	FC Felgueiras	0:0
6	Brito	0:0
7	Vitoria Guimaraes B	0:0
8	Sao Martinho	0:0
9	Rio Ave B	0:0
10	Berco	0:0
11	Pevidem	0:0

Pos	Team	GD
1	Gondomar	0:0
2	Trofense	0:0
3	U. Madeira	0:0
4	Leca	0:0
5	Coimbroes	0:0
6	Paredes	0:0
7	Amarante FC	0:0
8	Camara de Lobos	0:0
9	SC Salgueiros	0:0
10	SC Vila Real	0:0
11	Maritimo B	0:0
12	Pedras Rubras	0:0

Pos	Team	GD
1	Vitoria Setubal	0:0
2	Olhanense	0:0
3	Juv. Evora	0:0
4	Louletano	0:0
5	Aljustrelense	0:0
6	Pinhalnovense	0:0
7	Esperanca de Lagos	0:0
8	Moura AC	0:0
9	Lusitano GC	0:0
10	Amora	0:0
11	Moncarapachense	0:0
12	Armacenenses	0:0