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Cesar Vallejo vs Defensor La Bocana

Peru Peru

Segunda Division 2017 Estadio Mansiche, Trujillo
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Segunda Division 2017 game between Cesar Vallejo and Defensor La Bocana finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cesar Vallejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Cesar Vallejo
28%
Draws
22%
Defensor La Bocana
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Cesar Vallejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Cesar Vallejo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Cesar Vallejo a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cesar Vallejo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cesar Vallejo Clean Sheet 68%
Defensor La Bocana Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesar Vallejo Defensor La Bocana
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 18 10
Draws 8 3
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 27, 2017 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs Defensor La Bocana
4:2
May 7, 2017 Liga 2
Defensor La Bocana vs Cesar Vallejo
0:4
Nov 23, 2016 Liga 1
Cesar Vallejo vs Defensor La Bocana
1:1
Sep 29, 2016 Liga 1
Defensor La Bocana vs Cesar Vallejo
1:3
Aug 3, 2016 Liga 1
Cesar Vallejo vs Defensor La Bocana
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesar Vallejo 59 / 100
Defensor La Bocana 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesar Vallejo Defensor La Bocana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensor La Bocana has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Cesar Vallejo's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Difficult form: Defensor La Bocana registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cesar Vallejo VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesar Vallejo

(Home)
28 Jun
Cesar Vallejo
2 : 3
Carlos Mannucci
19 Jun
Alianza Atl.
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
14 Jun
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 0
A. Lima
25 May
ADA Jaen
1 : 1
Cesar Vallejo
17 May
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1
U. San Martin
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Defensor La Bocana

(Away)
04 Dec
Defensor La Bocana
0 : 2
Comerciantes FC
30 Nov
Defensor La Bocana
0 : 3
Deportivo Garcilaso
27 Nov
Defensor La Bocana
2 : 1
Atl. Bruces
18 Nov
Los Caimanes
3 : 1
Defensor La Bocana
12 Nov
Defensor La Bocana
6 : 1
Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sport Boys28169354:2357
2Cesar Vallejo28169376:2957
3Hualgayoc28146870:4446
4Union Huaral281431156:5745
5Los Chankas281111642:2744
6Cienciano28138761:4143
7Carlos Mannucci281011753:3841
8Sport Victoria281071136:4437
9Deportivo Coopsol27811845:4635
10Sport Loreto28961339:4833
11Alfredo Salinas277101041:5327
12Willy Serrato28661633:6824
13Los Caimanes28841641:5922
14Defensor La Bocana28931649:7316
15Sport Ancash28361927:7313
Promotion - Primera Division 2018 (Apertura)