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Cesar Vallejo vs Moquegua

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Mansiche
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
22'
Jimenez J.
46'
Sub
Cavero S. In: Grandez G.
Out: Cavero S.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025 game between Cesar Vallejo and Moquegua finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moquegua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Cesar Vallejo
22%
Draws
60%
Moquegua
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Moquegua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Moquegua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Moquegua a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Moquegua have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Cesar Vallejo Clean Sheet 21%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesar Vallejo Moquegua
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 Liga 2
Moquegua vs Cesar Vallejo
3:2
Nov 9, 2025 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs Moquegua
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs Moquegua
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Liga 2
Moquegua vs Cesar Vallejo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesar Vallejo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Moquegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesar Vallejo 20 / 100
Moquegua 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesar Vallejo Moquegua

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOQ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moquegua's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Cesar Vallejo found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Cesar Vallejo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cesar Vallejo VS Moquegua
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Moquegua-
TBD-
Union Comercio2
Cesar Vallejo4
Final
Moquegua4
Cesar Vallejo2