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Stadium Background

Cesar Vallejo vs Moquegua

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Mansiche
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Ascues A.
19'
Carando D.
27'
Rodriguez L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025 game between Cesar Vallejo and Moquegua finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Cesar Vallejo
22%
Draws
60%
Moquegua
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Moquegua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Moquegua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Moquegua are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Moquegua here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Cesar Vallejo Clean Sheet 21%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesar Vallejo Moquegua
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 11 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 0.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 16, 2025 Liga 2
Moquegua vs Cesar Vallejo
3:2
Nov 9, 2025 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs Moquegua
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Liga 2
Cesar Vallejo vs Moquegua
1:1
Aug 17, 2025 Liga 2
Moquegua vs Cesar Vallejo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesar Vallejo Compare

Top Goalscorer Grandez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Moquegua Compare

Top Goalscorer Chavez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesar Vallejo 20 / 100
Moquegua 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesar Vallejo Moquegua

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOQ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moquegua let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Cesar Vallejo scored in 55% of their last 33 games.

Recent resilience: Cesar Vallejo stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cesar Vallejo VS Moquegua
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cajamarca833210:814
2Moquegua833214:1113
3Cesar Vallejo832310:1011
4Tacna Heroica824211:1210
5Carlos Mannucci822415:198
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Comercio870118:421
2Comerciantes FC823312:711
3ADA Jaen82429:910
4Santos FC831410:1110
5San Marcos81254:226