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Cesena U19 vs Novara U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Primavera 2 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primavera 2 2017/2018 game between Cesena U19 and Novara U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Cesena U19
20%
Draws
48%
Novara U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Novara U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Cesena U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Cesena U19 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Primavera 2 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Cesena U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Novara U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesena U19 Novara U19
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 21 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 4 7
Goals Scored 2.79 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.23 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2018 Primavera 2
Cesena U19 vs Novara U19
1:1
Nov 18, 2017 Primavera 2
Novara U19 vs Cesena U19
1:1
Sep 20, 2017 Coppa Italia Primavera
Cesena U19 vs Novara U19
1:6
Mar 8, 2014 Primavera - Group A
Cesena U19 vs Novara U19
0:1
Nov 2, 2013 Primavera - Group A
Novara U19 vs Cesena U19
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesena U19 36 / 100
Novara U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesena U19 Novara U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cesena U19 scored in 97% of their last 33 outings.

Novara U19 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Cesena U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cesena U19 VS -
3.25 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesena U19

(Home)
07 Aug
Cesena U19
2 : 4
Forli FC
27 Jul
Cesena U19
1 : 1
Imolese
16 May
Cremonese U19
1 : 2
Cesena U19
11 May
Salernitana U19
1 : 5
Cesena U19
04 May
Cesena U19
1 : 1
Entella U19
Page 1 of 7

Novara U19

(Away)
16 May
Novara U19
0 : 1
Palermo U19
05 May
Brescia U19
1 : 2
Novara U19
28 Apr
Novara U19
3 : 0
Cittadella U19
21 Apr
Carpi U19
0 : 1
Novara U19
14 Apr
Novara U19
3 : 1
Parma U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novara U19 24 15 6 3 54:28 51
2 Empoli U19 24 13 6 5 37:21 45
3 Cesena U19 24 12 8 4 48:29 44
4 Spezia U19 24 11 5 8 46:34 38
5 Spal U19 24 9 10 5 25:21 37
6 Venezia U19 24 10 5 9 43:41 35
7 Cremonese U19 24 9 7 8 38:30 34
8 Pro Vercelli U19 24 9 6 9 34:38 33
9 Entella U19 24 8 6 10 35:36 30
10 Cittadella U19 24 8 5 11 26:43 29
11 Brescia U19 24 7 5 12 28:40 26
12 Parma U19 24 4 5 15 22:50 17
13 Carpi U19 24 1 6 17 16:41 9
Promotion - Primavera 1 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo U19 24 12 9 3 50:23 45
2 Cagliari U19 24 13 5 6 46:23 44
3 Ascoli U19 24 12 6 6 50:34 42
4 Bari U19 24 12 6 6 47:33 42
5 Crotone U19 24 11 5 8 44:30 38
6 Pescara U19 24 10 7 7 44:34 37
7 Perugia U19 24 11 4 9 39:32 37
8 Frosinone U19 24 9 7 8 31:31 34
9 Ternana U19 24 9 5 10 34:30 32
10 Foggia U19 24 7 7 10 38:39 28
11 Benevento U19 24 6 9 9 28:42 27
12 Salernitana U19 24 8 2 14 26:44 26
13 Avellino U19 24 0 0 24 22:104 0
Promotion - Primavera 1 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2017/2018 (Promotion - Play Offs)