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Cesena vs Catanzaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cesena host Catanzaro in the Serie B. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Cesena at 1.23 goals for, 1.4 against; Catanzaro at 1.77 for, 1.77 against. Past meetings favor Catanzaro slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.25) point toward Catanzaro. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Cesena
35%
Draws
24%
Catanzaro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cesena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Catanzaro come out ahead of Cesena on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Cesena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Cesena Clean Sheet 19%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesena Catanzaro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 10
Draws 13 8
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
Cesena vs Catanzaro
3:1
Dec 27, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Cesena
2:0
May 17, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Cesena
1:0
Feb 1, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Cesena
4:2
Aug 28, 2024 Serie B
Cesena vs Catanzaro
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesena 49 / 100
Catanzaro 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesena Catanzaro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Catanzaro has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Cesena's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Cesena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cesena VS Catanzaro
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesena

(Home)
31 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Cesena
27 Oct
Cesena
2 : 1
Empoli
24 Oct
Modena
3 : 0
Cesena
18 Oct
Cesena
1 : 1
Avellino
10 Oct
Benevento
2 : 0
Cesena
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Catanzaro

(Away)
31 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 1
Padova
27 Oct
Benevento
1 : 1
Catanzaro
24 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 6
Ascoli
16 Oct
Verona
2 : 2
Catanzaro
11 Oct
Catanzaro
1 : 3
Mantova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 10 8 2 0 24:12 26
2 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
3 Ascoli 10 5 4 1 16:6 19
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)