Sport Picks
Match Events
34'
34'
Liberali M.
Assist: Cassandro T.
56'
56'
Sub
Vrioni G. In: Cerri A.
Out: Vrioni G.
57'
57'
Sub
Ciervo R. In: Olivieri M.
Out: Ciervo R.
AI Match Summary
The Serie B 2025/2026 game between Cesena and Catanzaro finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cesena.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
70%
17%
13%
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Cesena
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
88%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Catanzaro come out ahead of Cesena on wins alone.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Cesena taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Cesena Clean Sheet 18%
Catanzaro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cesena | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Serie B
Cesena vs Catanzaro
3:1
Dec 27, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Cesena
2:0
May 17, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Cesena
1:0
Feb 1, 2025 Serie B
Catanzaro vs Cesena
4:2
Aug 28, 2024 Serie B
Cesena vs Catanzaro
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cesena Compare
Top Goalscorer Cerri A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Piacentini M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Catanzaro Compare
Top Goalscorer Liberali M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cesena 67 / 100
Catanzaro 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cesena Catanzaro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CES Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cesena scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Catanzaro let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Cesena remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Cesena VS Catanzaro
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Cesena
(Home) 01 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0 Fossombrone
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0 Carpi
21 Jul
Cesena
5 : 0 SSD Sampierana
08 May
Cesena
3 : 4 Padova
01 May
Carrarese
0 : 0 Cesena
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0 Fossombrone
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0 Carpi
21 Jul
Cesena
5 : 0 SSD Sampierana
08 May
Cesena
3 : 4 Padova
25 Apr
Cesena
0 : 0 Sampdoria
Page 1 of 4
Catanzaro
(Away) 29 Jul
Catanzaro
3 : 1 Paradiso
29 May
Monza
0 : 2 Catanzaro
24 May
Catanzaro
0 : 2 Monza
20 May
Palermo
2 : 0 Catanzaro
17 May
Catanzaro
3 : 0 Palermo
Page 1 of 7
29 May
Monza
0 : 2 Catanzaro
20 May
Palermo
2 : 0 Catanzaro
01 May
Palermo
3 : 2 Catanzaro
18 Apr
Juve Stabia
1 : 1 Catanzaro
11 Apr
Avellino
1 : 1 Catanzaro
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 82 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 81 |
| 3 | Monza | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 76 |
| 4 | Palermo | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | 51 |
| 8 | Avellino | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | 49 |
| 9 | Mantova | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | 46 |
| 10 | Padova | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | 46 |
| 11 | Cesena | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | 46 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | 44 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | 44 |
| 14 | Entella | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | 42 |
| 15 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | 41 |
| 16 | Sudtirol | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | 41 |
| 17 | Bari | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | 40 |
| 18 | Reggiana | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | 37 |
| 19 | Spezia | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | 35 |
| 20 | Pescara | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | 35 |
Promotion - Serie A (Main)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
