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Cesena vs Cremonese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
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Match Events

22' Event
Shpendi C.
Assist: Bisoli D.
39'
Fiori A.
45'
Ilic M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Cesena and Cremonese finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cesena
30%
Draws
41%
Cremonese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cremonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cremonese come out ahead of Cesena on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Cremonese taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Cesena Clean Sheet 16%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesena Cremonese
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 7 12
Draws 13 6
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.23 1.22
Goals Conceded 1.4 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie B
Cesena vs Cremonese
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Serie B
Cremonese vs Cesena
1:2
Dec 26, 2024 Serie B
Cesena vs Cremonese
0:1
May 18, 2018 Serie B
Cesena vs Cremonese
1:0
Dec 28, 2017 Serie B
Cremonese vs Cesena
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesena Compare

Top Goalscorer Shpendi C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cremonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Collocolo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonazzoli F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesena 28 / 100
Cremonese 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesena Cremonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cremonese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cesena's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Cesena has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cremonese has conceded goals in 48% of their last 27 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cesena VS Cremonese
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesena

(Home)
31 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Cesena
27 Oct
Cesena
2 : 1
Empoli
24 Oct
Modena
3 : 0
Cesena
18 Oct
Cesena
1 : 1
Avellino
10 Oct
Benevento
2 : 0
Cesena
Page 1 of 6

Cremonese

(Away)
31 Oct
Cremonese
2 : 0
Benevento
27 Oct
Mantova
0 : 2
Cremonese
24 Oct
Cremonese
0 : 1
Juve Stabia
17 Oct
Pisa
3 : 1
Cremonese
10 Oct
Arezzo
0 : 0
Cremonese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 11 8 3 0 25:13 27
2 Ascoli 11 5 5 1 17:7 20
3 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)