Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cesena vs Cremonese

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Shpendi C.
Assist: Bisoli D.
39'
Fiori A.
45'
Ilic M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Cesena and Cremonese finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cesena
35%
Draws
35%
Cremonese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Cremonese have managed 0.96 goals a game lately — Cesena are scoring more at 1.27.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Cesena Clean Sheet 20%
Cremonese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesena Cremonese
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.27 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie B
Cesena vs Cremonese
2:2
Feb 22, 2025 Serie B
Cremonese vs Cesena
1:2
Dec 26, 2024 Serie B
Cesena vs Cremonese
0:1
May 18, 2018 Serie B
Cesena vs Cremonese
1:0
Dec 28, 2017 Serie B
Cremonese vs Cesena
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesena Compare

Top Goalscorer Shpendi C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Cremonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Collocolo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonazzoli F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesena 32 / 100
Cremonese 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesena Cremonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cesena's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cremonese conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Cesena has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cesena VS Cremonese
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesena

(Home)
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
17 Aug
Sassuolo
3 : 0
Cesena
Page 1 of 6

Cremonese

(Away)
12 Sept
Cesena
2 : 2
Cremonese
06 Sept
Cremonese
3 : 1
Padova
01 Sept
Parma
0 : 2
Cremonese
28 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 3
Modena
22 Aug
Empoli
1 : 0
Cremonese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mantova 4 3 1 0 8:3 10
2 Palermo 4 3 1 0 8:4 10
3 Sudtirol 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
4 Avellino 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
5 Padova 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
6 Modena 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
7 Ascoli 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
8 Cesena 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
9 Pisa 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
10 Empoli 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
11 Arezzo 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
12 Vicenza 4 1 2 1 6:8 5
13 Benevento 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
14 Entella 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
15 Cremonese 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
16 Verona 4 1 1 2 8:6 4
17 Catanzaro 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
18 Juve Stabia 4 1 1 2 3:6 2
19 Carrarese 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
20 Sampdoria 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)