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Cesena vs Empoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Romagnoli S.
24'
Frabotta G.
31'
D'Andrea L.

AI Match Summary

Cesena in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cesena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cesena
35%
Draws
19%
Empoli
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cesena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cesena lately — more wins on the board than Empoli.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Cesena Clean Sheet 68%
Empoli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesena Empoli
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 5
Draws 13 11
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.24 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2026 Serie B
Cesena vs Empoli
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Serie B
Empoli vs Cesena
1:1
Jan 10, 2026 Serie B
Cesena vs Empoli
0:1
Apr 17, 2018 Serie B
Cesena vs Empoli
2:3
Nov 18, 2017 Serie B
Empoli vs Cesena
5:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesena Compare

Top Goalscorer Shpendi C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Empoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Saporiti E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesena 41 / 100
Empoli 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesena Empoli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Empoli has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Cesena found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Cesena stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cesena VS Empoli
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesena

(Home)
31 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Cesena
27 Oct
Cesena
2 : 1
Empoli
24 Oct
Modena
3 : 0
Cesena
18 Oct
Cesena
1 : 1
Avellino
10 Oct
Benevento
2 : 0
Cesena
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Empoli

(Away)
01 Nov
Empoli
2 : 2
Juve Stabia
27 Oct
Cesena
2 : 1
Empoli
23 Oct
Empoli
0 : 2
Vicenza
17 Oct
Ascoli
1 : 1
Empoli
10 Oct
Empoli
2 : 4
Palermo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 11 8 3 0 25:13 27
2 Ascoli 11 5 5 1 17:7 20
3 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)