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Cesena vs Mantova

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Kouda R.
31' Event
Ruocco F.
46'
Sub
Vlahovic V. In: Gliozzi E.
Out: Vlahovic V.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Cesena and Mantova finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Cesena
35%
Draws
41%
Mantova
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Mantova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Mantova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cesena Clean Sheet 12%
Mantova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesena Mantova
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.24 1.87
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie B
Cesena vs Mantova
1:1
Mar 17, 2026 Serie B
Mantova vs Cesena
3:0
Dec 13, 2025 Serie B
Cesena vs Mantova
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Club Friendly
Mantova vs Cesena
1:2
May 1, 2025 Serie B
Mantova vs Cesena
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesena Compare

Top Goalscorer Shpendi C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mantova Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruocco F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesena 30 / 100
Mantova 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesena Mantova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mantova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:6
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Cesena's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Mantova conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Cesena went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cesena VS Mantova
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesena

(Home)
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
17 Aug
Sassuolo
3 : 0
Cesena
08 Aug
Forli FC
0 : 0
Cesena
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Mantova

(Away)
06 Sept
Cesena
1 : 1
Mantova
03 Sept
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
30 Aug
Mantova
3 : 1
Empoli
22 Aug
Carrarese
1 : 2
Mantova
16 Aug
Lazio
0 : 2
Mantova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Mantova 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
3 Sudtirol 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
4 Ascoli 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
5 Arezzo 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
6 Avellino 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
7 Pisa 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
8 Modena 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
9 Empoli 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
10 Cesena 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
11 Benevento 4 1 1 2 5:5 4
12 Entella 4 1 1 2 7:6 4
13 Padova 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
14 Vicenza 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
15 Verona 4 1 1 2 8:6 4
16 Cremonese 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
17 Carrarese 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
18 Sampdoria 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
19 Juve Stabia 3 1 0 2 2:5 1
20 Catanzaro 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)