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Cesena vs Sampdoria

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Shpendi C.
Assist: Guidi M.
38'
Cicconi M.
43'
David A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cesena
30%
Draws
23%
Sampdoria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cesena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sampdoria lately — more wins on the board than Cesena.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Cesena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cesena Clean Sheet 68%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesena Sampdoria
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.21 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie B
Cesena vs Sampdoria
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Serie B
Cesena vs Sampdoria
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Cesena
1:2
Jan 17, 2025 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Cesena
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 Serie B
Cesena vs Sampdoria
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesena Compare

Top Goalscorer Shpendi C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sampdoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Henderson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesena 68 / 100
Sampdoria 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesena Sampdoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cesena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Cesena scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Sampdoria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Cesena stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cesena VS Sampdoria
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesena

(Home)
29 Aug
Entella
1 : 2
Cesena
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
17 Aug
Sassuolo
3 : 0
Cesena
08 Aug
Forli FC
0 : 0
Cesena
05 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0
Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 6

Sampdoria

(Away)
29 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Juve Stabia
23 Aug
Cesena
1 : 1
Sampdoria
17 Aug
Cremonese
2 : 0
Sampdoria
09 Aug
Parma
0 : 2
Sampdoria
01 Aug
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Novara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Modena 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Mantova 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
3 Palermo 2 2 0 0 4:2 6
4 Cesena 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
5 Ascoli 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 Padova 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
7 Sudtirol 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
8 Avellino 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
9 Arezzo 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
10 Pisa 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
11 Empoli 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Vicenza 2 1 0 1 3:5 3
13 Juve Stabia 2 1 0 1 2:2 1
14 Carrarese 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
15 Benevento 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
16 Verona 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
17 Sampdoria 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
18 Catanzaro 2 0 0 2 3:5 0
19 Entella 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
20 Cremonese 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)