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Cesena vs Sampdoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie B Stadio Dino Manuzzi, Cesena
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Shpendi C.
Assist: Guidi M.
38'
Cicconi M.
43'
David A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cesena
30%
Draws
31%
Sampdoria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cesena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sampdoria lately — more wins on the board than Cesena.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Cesena taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cesena Clean Sheet 20%
Sampdoria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesena Sampdoria
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 13 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.37 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Serie B
Cesena vs Sampdoria
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Serie B
Cesena vs Sampdoria
0:0
Sep 13, 2025 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Cesena
1:2
Jan 17, 2025 Serie B
Sampdoria vs Cesena
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 Serie B
Cesena vs Sampdoria
3:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cesena Compare

Top Goalscorer Shpendi C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sampdoria Compare

Top Goalscorer Henderson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesena 42 / 100
Sampdoria 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesena Sampdoria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Cesena scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Sampdoria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Cesena stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cesena VS Sampdoria
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cesena

(Home)
31 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Cesena
27 Oct
Cesena
2 : 1
Empoli
24 Oct
Modena
3 : 0
Cesena
18 Oct
Cesena
1 : 1
Avellino
10 Oct
Benevento
2 : 0
Cesena
Page 1 of 6

Sampdoria

(Away)
31 Oct
Sampdoria
2 : 0
Entella
27 Oct
Ascoli
2 : 0
Sampdoria
24 Oct
Sudtirol
1 : 1
Sampdoria
18 Oct
Sampdoria
1 : 2
Arezzo
09 Oct
Avellino
4 : 1
Sampdoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palermo 11 8 3 0 25:13 27
2 Ascoli 11 5 5 1 17:7 20
3 Modena 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Mantova 10 5 3 2 15:11 18
5 Avellino 10 4 3 3 15:10 15
6 Benevento 10 4 3 3 14:10 15
7 Verona 10 4 3 3 19:13 15
8 Pisa 10 4 3 3 18:15 15
9 Padova 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
10 Sudtirol 10 3 5 2 11:10 14
11 Cremonese 10 3 3 4 10:11 12
12 Cesena 10 2 6 2 11:14 12
13 Arezzo 10 3 2 5 9:19 11
14 Entella 10 2 4 4 11:12 10
15 Carrarese 10 3 1 6 9:13 10
16 Juve Stabia 10 3 4 3 11:11 9
17 Vicenza 10 2 3 5 13:20 9
18 Empoli 10 2 2 6 10:17 8
19 Sampdoria 10 2 2 6 10:18 8
20 Catanzaro 10 1 3 6 11:22 6
Promotion - Serie A 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie B (Play Out)