Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cesna Almaty vs Kaisar Kyzylorda 2

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2007
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cesna Almaty play Kaisar Kyzylorda 2 in the First Division 2007. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cesna Almaty averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Kaisar Kyzylorda 2 averaged 0.82 goals scored and 2 conceded. In past meetings, Cesna Almaty won 2, Kaisar Kyzylorda 2 won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 20, 2007 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.54 for Cesna Almaty and 0.99 for Kaisar Kyzylorda 2. This points to a Cesna Almaty double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Cesna Almaty
22%
Draws
30%
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Cesna Almaty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Cesna Almaty picked up more points recently compared to Kaisar Kyzylorda 2.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.54 vs 0.99 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%
Cesna Almaty Clean Sheet 23%
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cesna Almaty Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 5
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.33 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.83 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2007 First League
Cesna Almaty vs Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
1:2
Jul 11, 2007 First League
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2 vs Cesna Almaty
1:1
Aug 27, 2006 First League
Cesna Almaty vs Kaisar Kyzylorda 2
4:0
Jun 29, 2006 First League
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2 vs Cesna Almaty
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cesna Almaty 48 / 100
Kaisar Kyzylorda 2 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cesna Almaty Kaisar Kyzylorda 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cesna Almaty or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cesna Almaty attacking → ← attacking Kaisar Kyzylorda 2

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cesna Almaty scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Kaisar Kyzylorda 2 let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Cesna Almaty went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kaisar Kyzylorda 2 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 22
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Megasport Almaty22211089:1064
2Akzhayik Uralsk22182257:1456
3Kaspij Aktau22134546:2343
4Aktobe 222114738:3237
5Zhetysu Taldykorgan 22285932:4629
6Gornyak Khromtay2276931:3927
7Ordabasy 222721338:5823
8Cesna Almaty22651133:3023
9Kaisar Kyzylorda 222651125:3823
10Zhambyl Taraz22461222:3818
11Zhastar Uralsk22511621:7016
12Munaily Atyrau22431527:6115
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Energetik Pavlodar26240262:1072
2Kazakhmys26223167:1469
3Aksu26184465:2558
4Avangard Petropavlovsk26135835:3444
5Zhetysu-Sunkar Taldykorgan261231147:3939
6Ertis Pavlodar 2261221250:4238
7Asbest Zitikara261051134:4235
8Shakhter Karagandy 226951230:3332
9Spartak Semey26781129:4929
10Shakhter Yunost26661425:3824
11Tobol 226581332:4923
12Vostok Oskemen 226551625:6120
13Rakhat Astana26461625:5618
14Batyr Ekibastuz26010168:4210