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Cessnock City Hornets vs Toronto Awaba Stags

Australia Australia

Northern NSW State League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cessnock City Hornets play Toronto Awaba Stags in the Northern NSW State League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cessnock City Hornets averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. Toronto Awaba Stags averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. In past meetings, Cessnock City Hornets won 4, Toronto Awaba Stags won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.38 for Cessnock City Hornets and 1.81 for Toronto Awaba Stags. This points to a Toronto Awaba Stags double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Cessnock City Hornets
15%
Draws
44%
Toronto Awaba Stags
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Toronto Awaba Stags

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Cessnock City Hornets picked up more points recently compared to Toronto Awaba Stags.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.38 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Cessnock City Hornets Clean Sheet 11%
Toronto Awaba Stags Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cessnock City Hornets Toronto Awaba Stags
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 3
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.4 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs Cessnock City Hornets
0:2
Apr 11, 2026 Northern NSW State League
Cessnock City Hornets vs Toronto Awaba Stags
3:0
Jul 19, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs Cessnock City Hornets
1:2
May 4, 2025 Northern NSW State League
Cessnock City Hornets vs Toronto Awaba Stags
2:4
Aug 10, 2024 Northern NSW State League
Toronto Awaba Stags vs Cessnock City Hornets
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cessnock City Hornets 39 / 100
Toronto Awaba Stags 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cessnock City Hornets Toronto Awaba Stags

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Toronto Awaba Stags or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cessnock City Hornets attacking → ← attacking Toronto Awaba Stags

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cessnock City Hornets scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Toronto Awaba Stags let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Cessnock City Hornets went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Toronto Awaba Stags lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 45
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Wallsend Red Devils1393137:1730
2Lake Macquarie1391348:1928
3New Lambton1372429:1923
4Newcastle Croatia1370632:3121
5Dudley Redhead United1363420:2021
6West Wallsend FC1353524:3218
7Cessnock City Hornets1342719:2414
8Singleton Strikers1333714:3012
9South Cardiff1331911:2410
10Toronto Awaba Stags13301016:349