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Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Satu Mare Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 2 Areni Stadium, Suceava
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Raducan G.
23'
Golda D.
31'
Bara L.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Cetatea Suceava and CSM Satu Mare finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cetatea Suceava.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Cetatea Suceava
35%
Draws
16%
CSM Satu Mare
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cetatea Suceava

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cetatea Suceava come out ahead of CSM Satu Mare on wins alone.
  • 49% — that's where the model lands on Cetatea Suceava taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cetatea Suceava Clean Sheet 20%
CSM Satu Mare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cetatea Suceava CSM Satu Mare
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 19 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 15
Goals Scored 2.38 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Liga 2
Cetatea Suceava vs CSM Satu Mare
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cetatea Suceava Compare

Top Goalscorer Raducan G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aftanache A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

CSM Satu Mare Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cetatea Suceava 76 / 100
CSM Satu Mare 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cetatea Suceava CSM Satu Mare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cetatea Suceava Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cetatea Suceava's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CSM Satu Mare let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cetatea Suceava stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cetatea Suceava VS CSM Satu Mare
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cetatea Suceava

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Bacau
2 : 2
Cetatea Suceava
12 Sept
Cetatea Suceava
4 : 0
Ramnicu Valcea
05 Sept
Steaua Bucuresti
2 : 2
Cetatea Suceava
29 Aug
Cetatea Suceava
1 : 1
Popesti Leordeni
22 Aug
Stefanesti
3 : 1
Cetatea Suceava
Page 1 of 6

CSM Satu Mare

(Away)
01 Oct
CFR Cluj
2 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Metaloglobus Bucharest
1 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
06 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
1 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara
29 Aug
Gloria Bistrita
1 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Slatina 8 7 1 0 17:5 22
2 Politehnica Timisoara 8 6 2 0 18:7 20
3 CSM Resita 8 6 0 2 13:8 18
4 FC Bacau 8 4 3 1 19:8 15
5 Chindia Targoviste 8 5 0 3 17:8 15
6 Popesti Leordeni 8 4 3 1 19:14 15
7 Concordia 8 5 0 3 17:13 15
8 Metalul Buzau 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
9 Afumati 8 4 2 2 12:12 14
10 Cetatea Suceava 8 3 3 2 15:11 12
11 Gloria Bistrita 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
12 Metaloglobus Bucharest 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
13 FC ASA Tg. Mures 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
14 Ramnicu Valcea 8 3 2 3 10:13 11
15 FC Bihor 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
16 Selimbar 8 1 3 4 7:14 6
17 Stefanesti 8 2 0 6 6:15 6
18 Steaua Bucuresti 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
19 Unirea Slobozia 8 1 1 6 11:12 4
20 CSM Satu Mare 8 0 4 4 3:10 4
21 CSC Dumbravita 8 0 3 5 5:16 3
22 CS Din. Bucuresti 8 1 0 7 9:27 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)