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CF Badalona vs CF Vilanova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CF Badalona host CF Vilanova in the Tercera RFEF - Group 5. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. CF Badalona have averaged 1.49 scored and 1.2 conceded recently, against CF Vilanova's 1.1 scored and 0.87 conceded. Head-to-head, CF Badalona have won 1 to CF Vilanova's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.44) point toward CF Badalona. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CF Badalona
30%
Draws
35%
CF Vilanova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • CF Badalona carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CF Badalona a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
CF Badalona Clean Sheet 16%
CF Vilanova Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CF Badalona CF Vilanova
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.49 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs CF Vilanova
3:0
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs CF Badalona
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CF Badalona 57 / 100
CF Vilanova 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CF Badalona CF Vilanova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CF Badalona Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Badalona's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

CF Vilanova let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CF Badalona stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CF Badalona VS CF Vilanova
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CF Badalona

(Home)
03 Oct
UE Tona
1 : 3
CF Badalona
27 Sept
CF Badalona
4 : 0
San Cristobal CP
20 Sept
Vilassar de Mar
0 : 2
CF Badalona
12 Sept
CF Badalona
0 : 1
Montanesa
09 Sept
CF Badalona
2 : 3
Sestao
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CF Vilanova

(Away)
27 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 3
CF Vilanova
19 Sept
CF Vilanova
1 : 1
Peralada
13 Sept
Mollerussa
0 : 1
CF Vilanova
05 Sept
CF Vilanova
2 : 2
L Hospitalet
26 Aug
Terrassa
0 : 0
CF Vilanova
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CF Badalona 5 3 0 2 10:4 9
2 Montanesa 4 3 0 1 5:1 9
3 CE Europa B 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
4 CF Vilanova 4 2 2 0 7:5 8
5 FE Grama 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Pobla Mafumet 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
7 L Hospitalet 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
8 Cornella 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
9 FC Lescala 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
10 San Juan Atletico de Montcada 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
11 Peralada 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 FC Martinenc 4 1 2 1 8:8 5
13 Cerdanyola del Valles 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
14 CE Atletic Lleida 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
15 Mollerussa 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
16 San Cristobal CP 4 1 1 2 4:8 4
17 UE Tona 5 1 0 4 4:9 3
18 Vilassar de Mar 5 1 0 4 3:13 3
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 (Play Offs)